With Halloween fast approaching next week, you might still be struggling to come up with the right costume to wear to your parties.
Last Monday night, Jets QB Sam Darnold was “mic-ed up” during the game and after a particularly ghoulish interception, commented from the sidelines that “I’m seeing ghosts out there.”
So, there you go, a Darnold Jets No. 14 jersey coupled with a ghost mask and you’ve sorted out a pop-culture Halloween costume.
The New York Jets teased their fan base two weeks ago when Darnold returned from his four-week absence due to mono to energize the team in a 24-22 win over the Dallas Cowboys.
It was as if a giant cloud had been lifted from Florham Park. In some circles, the Jets remaining favorable schedule looked ahead to playing the Dolphins twice, Giants, Redskins and Bengals. Other potential winnable games versus the Jaguars, Raiders and Steelers had the topic of playoffs as a potential target.
Tough times for local NFL teams
Not included in the “favorable schedule,” however, were the Patriots, who came to MetLife Stadium and marauded the Jets in all phases of the game on Monday night in a 33-0 rout of Gang Green.
It was also a tough Week 7 for the other Jersey-centric teams as the Giants dropped what many viewed as a winnable game at home in a mini-monsoon to the Arizona Cardinals.
The Eagles talked the talk all week leading into the game at Dallas but were crushed by the Cowboys in an ugly 37-10 loss.
All three of our local teams are playing on the road this week. The Eagles shuffle off to Buffalo to play the Bills and the Giants head to the Motor City to face the Lions.
The Jets will get a taste of August training camp weather as they head to Jacksonville. Game-time temperatures are expected to be close to 90 degrees.
The focus of this week’s column will be the Jets and how they will respond this Sunday in the land of #DUUUVAL. I will take a closer look at the betting lines and some of the props for the Jets-Jaguars game on Sunday.
Jets, Sam Darnold and the ‘ghosts’ commentary
But first, a quick look at some of the Darnold post-ghost social commentary:
NFL legend and former Jet QB Brett Favre weighed in:
The Jets opposing QB, rookie Gardner Minshew, defended the Darnold ghost comment:
And in keeping with my Halloween theme, just a random shout-out to Dominos Japan for this special ghost pepper pizza:
Jets vs. Jaguars: point spreads, moneyline and totals
The majority of the available NJ sports betting apps currently have the line at Jets +6 with varying degrees of “juice.”
From a moneyline perspective, the best pricing is +250 at DraftKings, BetAmerica and Resorts and the low-end is +200 at MGM/Borgata.
The game total is solid with the majority of the books at 41, with MGM/Borgata at 40.5 and FanDuel at 41.5.
Keep an eye on the lines as news from Wednesday was that Darnold was limping after having a toenail removed (ouch):
Jets vs. Jaguars: Best bets at DraftKings Sportsbook
Let’s take a closer look into the guts of this game’s betting lines as currently offered by DraftKings Sportsbook:
DraftKings Sportsbook has taken the NJ sports betting market by storm with a mobile app that builds on the success of their daily fantasy sports business that launched in 2012.
DraftKings also has a retail sportsbook in Atlantic City at Resorts. You can read more about this retail location in my review here.
As of Oct. 25, DraftKings has the Jets at +6, a total of 41, with juice -110 across the board. DK also has a top of the market moneyline price for the Jets at +250:
DraftKings offers an extensive price for alternative point spreads, with a sample shown below:
Alternative totals and lines
If you feel the total points of 41 is too high due to both teams wilting in the Jacksonville heat and humidity, DraftKings offers alternative total points as low as 27.5.
Here is a snapshot of some of their alternative total points pricing:
The full game points and totals for Jets vs. Jaguars are one way to approach betting this game. DraftKings also has props related solely to the first half.
Here are the lines and totals posted for the first 30 minutes of the game:
DraftKings has pricing on individual team totals as well as total combined touchdowns in the first half:
A companion to the first half action is prop pricing on the first team to score and what the first scoring play will be:
DraftKings also offers pricing for the first team to score at various point levels, yet another way to be involved in the first half action:
Full game highlights at DraftKings
When looking at the entire game, the second quarter is priced to be the highest-scoring 15-minute segment:
Given the game total of 41 points, here’s how DraftKings has priced the point totals for each team:
If you believe that ghosts can’t be seen in broad daylight and Darnold bounces back, here are some great half-time and full-time pricing props for the Jets:
Margin of victory props? You bet
I always think the “margin of victory” props are always worth a look.
For example, if you think the Jets will cover the +6 spread, but won’t win the game, you can get +320 odds in this prop, versus taking +6/-110 on the current point spread pricing:
Also, check out the pricing related to the last team to score a touchdown and the total combined number of touchdowns:
Will there be overtime? A generous price of 10-1 is offered if you think there will be an added quarter:
DraftKings also offers parlays around the game-winner and the total points. This is a great way to boost your odds and cash a nice ticket if you have a strong opinion.
The game parlay is offered for both the moneyline and the point spread:
The player props for Sunday’s game have not yet been posted, but using the template for what was available on Thursday night, there will likely be an extensive offering to sift through.
Well done by DraftKings. There is no shortage of bets and props in their trick-or-treat bag for this Sunday’s Jets-Jaguars game.
The NFL local lines for Eagles, Jets and Giants
Here are the current local lines as of Thursday afternoon via DraftKings:
- Eagles +1.5 (-110) at Bills (-1.5 -110), Total of 43 points
- Giants +6.5 (-109) vs Lions (+3 -112), Total of 49 points
- Jets +6 (-110) vs Jaguars (-6 +110) Total of 41 points
My three picks from the Jersey side
It was a ghastly NFL Week 7 for me as neither the Giants or Eagles failed to show up and the 49ers won the game but failed to cover in the first half as they played the Redskins to a 0-0 tie in an absolute quagmire in DC.
With our tail between our legs, I will look to right the ship in NFL Week 8:
NFL Week 7 recap
Week 0-3, Season YTD 9-12
- GIANTS -3 over Cardinals (Cardinals 27, GIANTS 21)
- 49ERS -5.5 over Redskins 1st HALF (49ERS 0, Redskins 0)
- EAGLES +2.5 over Cowboys (Cowboys 37, EAGLES 10)
NFL Week 8 selections
Almost a full slate of games this weekend, with only the Ravens and Cowboys on bye weeks. The Eagles, Jets and Giants are all in action during the 1 p.m. window.
The Rams face the Bengals also at 1 p.m. but just a reminder that this game will be played at Wembley Stadium in north London.
A total of nine 1 p.m. games, three 4 p.m. window games leading into a nice Sunday night game featuring the Green Bay Packers visiting the Kansas City Chiefs, sans Patrick Mahomes.
Here’s what I like this week:
EAGLES (+1.5) over Bills
Maybe the Eagles (3-4) aren’t this bad. Maybe the Bills (5-1) aren’t this good.
I’m hoping that the Eagles finally show up in the first half of a game and beat a Bills team that didn’t exactly blow away the NFL’s two remaining winless teams, the Bengals (Week 2) and the Dolphins (Week 7) at home.
RAMS and BENGALS under 48.5 total
As mentioned, this game will be played in London.
The Rams (4-3) have a chance to get some momentum after rebounding from three straight losses to beat the Falcons last week, and I can’t see them losing to the Bengals (0-7) this week.
I also don’t see how the Bengals will be able to score any points, no matter what continent they happen to be playing on.
I visualize a 31-10 Rams win, well below the total 48.5.
BUCCANEERS (+2.5) over Titans
The Buccaneers (2-4) have been dealt a brutal schedule to start the season.
Of their first seven games, only two have been in Tampa and following this weekend’s trip to Nashville, they have yet another road game in Seattle next weekend, Nov. 3.
They had a chance to sample some home cooking on a bye week following their week 6 loss to the Panthers in London. I’m hoping for a more consistent effort from the Bucs offense against a Titans (3-4) team that somehow managed to hold on against the Chargers last week. I will take the points with the Bucs and take my chances against the Titans and their new starting QB, ex-Dolphin Ryan Tannehill.