As we find ourselves at the midway point of the NFL season, all our local teams are looking forward to a better second half.

The Eagles, Jets and Giants do not have a winning record and are a collective 7-16. All three teams will look to their youthful quarterbacks to lead them to a turn around in November and December.

The Eagles return home after three straight road games to host the reeling Chicago Bears. The Jets head to Miami to look for their second win over the winless Dolphins. The Giants host the Cowboys on Monday night for rookie Daniel Jones’ first prime-time start.

Monday Night Football is always a special event and it’s even more meaningful when it’s a Giants rivalry game. For this week’s column, we will take a deeper dive into the Giants-Cowboys match-up.

Saquon Barkley finally looks like he’s back to 100% after missing time to an ankle injury. Giants fans are looking for more moves like this from last week on Monday night as well as in the years to come:

The Cowboys are coming off a bye week after crushing the Eagles and Head Coach Doug Pederson’s “win” guarantee in Dallas:

Let’s get ready for this Monday’s prime-time matchup and look at some potential betting trends for both teams.

Cowboys vs. Giants recent history and trends

The Cowboys opened 2019 by beating the Giants in Dallas, 35-17. The Cowboys have dominated the recent series, having won five straight over the G-Men going back to 2017.

In terms of trends, these are for reference only, particularly in the case of the Giants, as the historical performances below were with Eli Manning at QB:

Giants trends

  • 1-5 Against the Spread (ATS) in their last six home games.
  • 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog.
  • 1-4 ATS versus a team with a winning record.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last five Monday games.
  • Under is 4-0 in the last four home games.
  • Under is 4-1 in the last five games as a home underdog.

Cowboys trends

  • 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Monday Night Football games.
  • 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC East teams.
  • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 games overall.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last five road games
  • Under is 5-2 in the last seven games as a road favorite.
  • Over is 6-1 in the last seven vs. NFC East teams.

Cowboys vs. Giants point spreads

A look at the 17 NJ online sportsbooks currently has the line at Giants +7 or +7.5 with varying degrees of “juice.”  

From a moneyline perspective, the best pricing for the Giants is currently +290 at Caesars, while for the Cowboys, you can get -340 at FanDuel.

The game total is solid with the majority of the books at 47.5-48 points.

As I do each week, while looking deeper into the Giants-Cowboys matchup, I will also look at the offerings of one of the New Jersey sports betting apps.

This week, I decided to give a more in-depth analysis of the offerings at PointsBet NJ

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PointsBet best bets for Cowboys vs. Giants

PointsBet has established itself in the US as an innovative, cutting-edge sportsbook. From “Good Karma” refunds to customizing a bet through their #NameABet feature, there really is something for everyone.

In last night’s 49ers vs. Cardinals game, for example, PointsBet offered more than 200 different betting markets.

Though not fully populated yet across the game betting portfolio, there are still roughly 100 different markets available for Monday’s Cowboys-Giants game.

It’s also important to keep in mind that PointsBet has a season-long promo paying $6 per touchdown on Jets, Eagles and Giants spread bets of $50 or higher:

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PointsBet has all the “traditional” spreads, totals, quarters, and halves well-covered including alternate spreads and totals. PointsBet, however, really shines in the prop and individual player offerings.

There are some interesting props around defensive markets:

The player props are in-depth across the key offensive skill positions. Here are passing yard props for the Giants “Danny Dimes:”

And here are the totals for the Cowboys QB Dak Prescott:

What makes this matchup even more intriguing is the presence of two of the finest young running backs in the NFL.

The Cowboys Ezekiel Elliott got a late start to the regular season after holding out all of training camp. In the season opener versus the Giants, he was clearly on a reduced workload, carrying just 13 times.

For Big Blue, Barkley should round back into peak form after missing four weeks due to an ankle sprain.

Here are the rushing yardage props for Barkley (and note there’s also receiving props around his pass-catching prowess):

Below are the listed yardage props for Elliott:

As mentioned earlier, the props and markets on PointsBet will continue to expand as we draw closer to Monday Night’s kickoff and be sure to check out the PointsBet app as their creative “Name A Bet” prop section will be frequently populated/updated as well.

The NFL local line: Giants, Eagles and Jets

Here are the current local lines as of Friday afternoon via PointsBet:

  • Eagles -4 (-105) vs Bears +4 (-105), Total of 41.5 points
  • Giants +7 (-106) vs Cowboys -7 (-106), Total of 48 points
  • Jets -3 (-121) vs Dolphins +3 (+111) Total of 42.5 points

My three picks from the Jersey Side

I managed to have a decent week 8, nailing my first two early games.

I was left with plenty of time to watch and root on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to try to cover the spread in Nashville. Sadly, after leading the Titans at halftime, the Bucs fell apart in the second half, losing the game by 4 points.

I’m looking to take this 2-1 momentum from last week and build on it for week 9: 

My Week 8 Recap

Week 2-1, Season YTD 11-13

  • EAGLES (+1.5) over Bills (EAGLES  31, Bills 13)
  • RAMS and BENGALS UNDER 48.5 TOTAL (RAMS 24, BENGALS 10)
  • BUCCANEERS (+2.5) over Titans (Titans 27, BUCCANEERS 23) 

My Week 9 selections

In addition to the Cowboys-Giants game on Monday night, there are 12 games on Sunday.

The Bengals, Falcons, Saints and Rams are on their bye week. Also, note that the Texans and Jaguars are in London and will start at 9:30 a.m. on Sunday morning.

The London game will kick off Sunday’s action followed by seven 1 p.m. starts, four 4 p.m. window games, and capped off by a doozy on Sunday night with the Ravens hosting the undefeated Patriots.

Here’s what I like this week:

EAGLES (-5) over Bears 

The Eagles salvaged a win in Buffalo last week to snap a two-game road losing streak. They are back in the friendly confines of the Linc to host the reeling Chicago Bears.

This game has been circled on the schedule since the Bears “Double Doink” loss to the Eagles in the playoffs in January.

Unfortunately for the Bears, they just don’t seem to be the same team. Running back Jordan Howard is now an Eagle and Bears QB Mitchell Trubisky has had an inconsistent and injury-plagued season.

I am looking for the Eagles to win this game comfortably. 

JETS and DOLPHINS over 20 points total in first half

After an ugly loss in Jacksonville, the Jets head back to Florida to face the still winless Miami Dolphins.

I expect the Jets to come out with an aggressive game plan to put points on the board right away. The Dolphins have scored 77 points in seven games this season.

When they do score, it happens in the first half, as evidenced by the fact that 57 of their 77 points have been scored in the first half. I’m taking a flyer that there is a mini-shootout at the Hard Rock Stadium in the first half on Sunday afternoon.

SEAHAWKS (-6) over Buccaneers 

The Buccaneers complete a brutal scheduling gauntlet that has forced them to play only two of their first eight games at home. The Bucs will tack another 5,000 round trip air miles this weekend as they head to Seattle.

Jameis Winston is just too inconsistent to have any confidence that he can put together four consecutive quarters of error-free football. There must be an INT or strip sack-fumble in his future.

The 6-2 Seahawks, while historically tough at home, are undefeated this year on the road and just 2-2 at home. Those losses were to the Ravens and the Saints, and the Bucs aren’t anywhere close to that caliber.

I expect the Seahawks to get the job done this weekend over the Buccaneers.

Mike McGough

About

Mike McGough is a consultant who advises clients in such areas as media buying, sponsorship analyses, and procurement best practices. As a New Jersey-based sports fan and handicapper, he gives a unique perspective from business operations all the way to the betting windows. He specifically covers sports betting apps and online betting.