Week 10 of NFL betting also coincides with a great weekend of college football.
The NFL caps off the weekend with two great prime time matchups, the Vikings at Cowboys on Sunday and the Seahawks at 49ers on Monday.
Locally, while the Eagles are on a bye week, we have the battle of New York/New Jersey with the Jets and Giants facing off at MetLife Stadium.
We will touch on the Jets-Giants matchup later in the column, but let’s take a glance at where the college football season stands as we head to a big Saturday of action.
College football: Where things stand in Week 11 of NCAA action
As the college football season reaches Week 11, there are seven schools that are still undefeated:
- Ohio State
- Penn State
All these teams were featured in the initial college football rankings published earlier this week:
The top four ranked schools feature two from Big 10 and two from SEC with nine of the top 14 from either of the two conferences.
These initial rankings will be updated weekly until the Final Four will be announced on Dec. 8 for the national semi-final playoffs on Dec. 28 and the championship game on Jan. 13, 2020.
So what makes this Saturday so special?
Well, Saturday features games with four of the seven undefeated teams going head-to-head, with Penn State (#4) at Minnesota (#17) and LSU (#2) visiting Tuscaloosa to face Alabama (#3).
LSU vs. Alabama
The LSU vs. Alabama matchup doesn’t have quite a “game of the century” billing, but it’s a huge game. The team that loses the game will likely drop out of the top four and will need a few breaks to make it back into the playoff picture.
Here are the current LSU-Alabama odds via 888 Sportsbook in NJ (as of Nov. 8):
- Point Spread: Alabama -6.5
- Points Total: 62
- Moneyline: LSU: +185, Alabama: -250
Diving deeper into this game, here are some trends related to the LSU-Alabama battle:
Who leads the LSU vs. Alabama football series?
Alabama leads the series between the two schools, 53-25-5. The Crimson Tide have won the last eight meetings vs LSU, including shutouts in both 2016 and 2018.
Other relevant LSU vs Alabama trends?
Since the college football playoff era began in 2014, Alabama is 39-1 straight up as a home favorite, but only 18-22 against the spread.
Since 2007, Alabama is 15-8-1 vs. the spread off a bye week under head coach Nick Saban.
LSU is 6-0 against the spread as an underdog since Ed Orgeron took over as the full-time head coach in 2017. The Tigers are also 3-0 against the spread as a road underdog.
And to really get you in the mood for this big game, here are some other tidbits via Chris “The Bear” Fallica of ESPN:
Betting on college football vs betting on the NFL
When it comes to betting on the LSU vs. Alabama game and college football in general, each of the 17 New Jersey sportsbook apps offer betting opportunities.
But I do want to note some of the differences between betting college football vs betting the NFL, most notably:
- College games tend to be higher scoring. For example, the LSU-Bama total is currently at 62 points, whereas NFL total point over/under ranges will be in the high 30s to mid-high 40s.
- A factor also contributing to the noted higher scoring is the overtime structure in college football, with each team starting overtime with the ball at the opposition’s 25-yard line. It’s not uncommon for a game to go to three or more OT’s, contributing potentially 30+ points to the final score total.
- While the NFL has a multitude of team and player betting props for scoring and yardage, there are dramatically fewer options available for college games.
888 Sports and LSU vs. Alabama odds: a closer look
For the LSU vs. Alabama game, let’s look at a few of the options available via 888 Sports:
888 offers a prop on the first team to score as well as individual over/under totals for both schools:
It should be a great NCAA football game in Alabama on Saturday, with so much riding on this game for both schools.
Giants vs. Jets odds at 888 Sportsbook
Once the dust settles after a long afternoon of college football on Saturday, there is the NFL and the battle of New York/New Jersey as the Jets “host” the Giants at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday afternoon.
While both teams face each other every year in the pre-season, the scheduling rotation currently yields a matchup once every four years, and the Jets-Giants have met just 13 times during the regular season, with the last meeting in 2015.
The Giants lead the all-time regular-season series 8-5 with the teams splitting the two matchups since MetLife Stadium opened in 2011.
Both teams are coming off of ugly losses in Week 9, with the Giants game highlighted by the appearance of a black cat.
Keeping with the “cat” theme, everyone is having fun in advance of this game on Sunday:
With this once-every-four-years regular-season game between the 2-7 Giants and 1-7 Jets, is it fair to consider if this is the worst Jets-Giants matchup ever? Or will it spark some memorable Giants vs. Jets moments?
In terms of betting this game, the Giants are favored by 2.5 points, with a total of 43.5 points. “Triple 8” offers props around the first team to score and the first scoring play of the game:
888sport also has props related to touchdowns; please note that the Jets will be the “Home Team:”
There is also prop wagering for the race to selected point totals:
Be sure to check back with 888 Sports closer to both game days for all of your college football and NFL bets. As always, things and lines can change in the blink of an eye.
The NFL local line: Eagles, Jets and Giants in Week 10
Here are the current local lines as of Friday afternoon via 888:
- Giants -3 (-103) vs Jets +3 (-121), Total of 44.5 points
- Moneyline: Giants -165; Jets +135
- Eagles: BYE WEEK
My three NFL Week 10 picks (from the Jersey Side)
Hopefully, I’m back on the winning track, with a 2-0-1 week last Sunday.
It wasn’t a pretty one, but the Eagles managed to grind out a win (and cover) over the Chicago Bears.
The Jets and Dolphins lit up the scoreboard in the first half, relatively speaking, and the Seahawks scored a TD in overtime to push against a 6-point spread (though this number was as low as -4 by game time) vs the road-weary Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
My NFL Week 9 recap
Week 2-0-1, Season YTD 13-13-1
- EAGLES (-5) over Bears (EAGLES 22, Bears 14)
- JETS and DOLPHINS over 20 Points in first Half (Dolphins 21- Jets 12 at Half-time)
- SEAHAWKS (-6) over Buccaneers (SEAHAWKS 40, Buccaneers 34; PUSH)
While I don’t do it every weekend, I had a good feeling about my picks last week and was able to convert that into collecting on a nice little three-team parlay:
My Week 10 NFL picks
With six NFL teams on bye week, that means three fewer games on this week’s schedule.
There are seven 1 p.m. starts, and three 4 p.m. window games on this week’s slate. Here are my picks for this week:
LSU vs. Alabama – UNDER 63.5 Points
Keeping with the theme of this week’s column, I decided to add the biggest college football game of the week as part of my three picks.
There are so many questions in the LSU-Bama game, with one of the primary ones centering on the health of Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa, who had ankle surgery 20 days ago.
This might lead to a more conservative game plan for Bama, focusing more on running than passing, grinding out drives, and burning time on the clock.
Of course, this game wouldn’t surprise me if it ended in a 42-40 shootout, but I just think 63.5 points is too high of a total. I see Bama prevailing in a 31-24 score, falling UNDER the total of 63.5.
GIANTS (-2.5) over Jets
It’s tough to pick a side this game, but I will go with the Giants because Giants rookie QB Daniel Jones has been marginally better than Jets second-year QB Sam Darnold.
Also, after two low-scoring offenses (Jaguars, Dolphins) threw the ball all over the yard against the Jets secondary in the last two weeks, I give a further edge to “Danny Dimes” and Big Blue this Sunday.
COLTS (-10) over the Dolphins
Now that the Dolphins have recorded their first win and avoided a potentially winless season, maybe there isn’t much to play for.
While the Fins have looked relatively resurgent over the last few weeks with Ryan Fitzpatrick, they will face a stiff challenge when they head to Lucas Oil Stadium to face the Colts. The Colts, while banged up and potentially having to start Brian Hoyer at QB, are still a much better team.
The Colts have a lot to play for, as they are in second place in a bunched AFC South, trailing the Houston Texans by a half-game for the division lead. I expect the Colts to beat the Dolphins comfortably at home on Sunday.