When the New England Patriots hit Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia on Sunday, it will have been 651 days since both teams met in the 2018 Super Bowl.
While this rematch is seemingly worthy of a prime-time Sunday night slot, the game was not originally scheduled by NBC or “flex scheduled” into the Sunday Night Football slot.
So it maintains its original 4:25 p.m. slot. (Sunday Night viewers will see the Bears visiting the Rams in Los Angeles.)
In the 21 months since the Eagles Super Bowl 52 win over New England, the Patriots have continued their “business as usual” dominance of the 2000s. They won Super Bowl 53 in February 2019 and raced to an 8-1 start this season.
The Eagles, on the other hand, struggled through a challenging 2019 first-half schedule at 3-4 but have won their last two games and a victory over the Patriots on Sunday puts them in first place in the NFC East.
Memories of a Super Bowl win
While the task at hand for the Eagles is to win on Sunday, for Eagles fans, it’s still great to look back a little in the rearview mirror at the momentous 2018 Super Bowl victory.
There were many epic plays that contributed to the Eagles win, including Zac Ertz’ catch and goal-line stretch for a TD and Brandon Graham’s strip-sack of Tom Brady.
The most memorable though? Head coach Doug Pederson’s “Philly Philly” fourth down play call at the end of the second quarter:
The key pieces from the Eagles “Philly Philly” play have now moved on to other teams, with tight-end Trey Burton in Chicago and Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles set to return from an opening week injury to start this weekend for the Jacksonville Jaguars.
While Foles is no longer an Eagle, he will always maintain sports legend status in Philadelphia. He will also stand in bronze forever in the “Philly Philly” statue memorialized at Lincoln Financial Field:
NFL betting trends for Patriots vs. Eagles
Looking at this Sunday, the scheduling of the game is notable as both teams are coming off a bye week.
Since Pederson become the Eagles coach in 2016, the Eagles are 2-2 straight up and against the spread following a bye week. In the same time frame, the Patriots are 5-1 straight up and ATS off a break.
Here are some other key betting trends worth noting this week for Patriots vs. Eagles:
Eagles betting trends
- Under is 14-6 in last 20 games following a bye week.
- Under is 6-1 in the last seven games following a straight up win.
- Under is 12-5 in the last 17 home games.
- Over is 6-2 in the last eight games vs. a team with a winning record.
- 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a straight-up win.
Patriots betting trends
- Over is 6-1 in the last seven games following a bye week.
- Under is 15-6 in the last 21 games overall.
- Under is 5-1 in the last six road games.
- Under is 4-0 in the last four games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in the last 16 games following a straight up loss.
- 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games following an ATS loss.
- 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
Let’s take a closer look at some of the promotions and props available for this week’s game on BetMGM Sports.
BetMGM best bets: Patriots vs. Eagles
To start us off, BetMGM has an overtime insurance promotion that provides up to a $25 refund if your NFL team (and bet) loses in overtime:
An awesome feature unique to BetMGM is the “Edit My Bet” feature.
This allows a bettor to change any straight or parlay bet that has the “Cash Out” option available. So, if you’re feeling great about how your team has played in the first quarter, you can increase your bet size during the action.
It’s a feature worth checking out:
Patriots vs. Eagles odds at BetMGM NJ
For the Patriots-Eagles game, BetMGM currently lists the Patriots as a 3.5-point favorite over the Eagles, with an over/under total of 44.5.
In addition to offering alternate spreads and totals, BetMGM offers several interesting props for the games.
There are several “First or Last to Happen” game scenarios to bet on:
BetMGM sportsbook also has posted the “over/under” yardage for the shortest touchdown in the Eagles-Patriots game at 1.5 yards:
And kudos to BetMGM by offering some unique props! That includes which team will receive the first penalty, which will call the first timeout as well as which team will be the first to use a coach’s challenge for a play call:
It’s worth checking out BetMGM Sports for the Eagles-Patriots game as well as the rest of the weekend’s NFL action.
From the overtime guarantees and Edit Your Bet features to some unique props, there’s no shortage of action at BetMGM.
The NFL local line: Eagles, Jets and Giants odds for NFL Week 11
Here are the current odds as of Friday afternoon via BetMGM:
|Jets vs. Redskins||NYJ +115 WAS -139||Over 38.5 (-115)|
Under 28.5 (-106)
|NYJ +2.5 WAS -2.5|
|Patriots vs. Eagles||NE -189 PHI +155||Over 44.5 (-115)|
Under 44.5 (-106)
|NE -3.5 PHI +3.5|
The New York Giants have a bye week as do the Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks and Tennessee Titans.
My three picks for NFL Week 11
Last weekend was an absolute shellacking for me.
The Alabama-LSU was “over” by early in the third quarter. The Giants came back to take the lead vs. the New York Jets but couldn’t hold to get the win in the battle of New York/New Jersey.
And Brian Hoyer wasn’t able to stop doing “Brian Hoyer things” as the Indianapolis Colts (with no help from kicker Adam Vinatieri) lost outright to the Miami Dolphins at home.
My Week 10 recap
Week 0-3, Season YTD 13-16-1
- Alabama vs LSU – UNDER 63.5 Points (LSU 46, Alabama 41)
- GIANTS (-2.5) over Jets (Jets 34, GIANTS 27)
- COLTS (-10) over the Dolphins (Dolphins 16, COLTS 12)
My Week 11 NFL picks
This weekend’s schedule features eight 1 p.m. starts and three 4 p.m. window games. Here are my picks for this week:
VIKINGS (-10.5) over Broncos
The Vikings come off a huge Sunday night win in Dallas to return home against the Denver Broncos.
As well as the Vikings played on the road against the Cowboys, they are an even better team playing at home. The Vikes are 4-0 at home while outscoring their opponents 119-55.
The Broncos are coming off a bye week, which gives new QB Brandon Allen more time to acclimate to the offense since taking over for injured Joe Flacco in the Week 9 win over the Browns.
Allen performed admirably in the win, but it’s hard to envision the Broncos doing much offensively, having scored 16, 16, 1 and 20 points in their four road games thus far.
I look for the Vikings to keep things rolling on Sunday with an easy win over the Broncos.
RAIDERS (-10.5) over Bengals
The Oakland Raiders are quietly one of the surprise teams of the 2019 NFL season.
They endured a brutal first half schedule that included a trip to London and only three of their nine games played in Oakland. The outlook continues to brighten this Sunday as they welcome a winless Cincinnati Bengals team to the Black Hole.
The Bengals have committed themselves to the future with rookie Ryan Finley replacing nine-year vet Andy Dalton. The Bengals were outmatched in every phase of the game last Sunday at home against the Ravens.
It’s difficult to think much will improve this weekend. The only drama left in their season is whether they will win a game and then moving on to whom they will draft with their #1 pick next spring.
Eagles and Patriots OVER 44.5 Points
The Eagles combo of Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders should be able to run with some success against the Patriots. On the other side of the ball, though depleted in the receiving core, the Patriots still have enough options in Julian Edelman, Phillip Dorsett and the recently acquired Mohammed Sanu to keep the pressure on the Eagles sometimes shaky secondary.
I don’t see this one as a “shootout” per se, but there’s a chance this one ends up as a 28-24 final. The over is a good bet for this Sunday.