NFL Week 13 provides a menu beyond odds boosts, sign-up offers and promotions.
This week offers an amazing perfect storm regarding the NFC Least.
For the first time all season, all four of its teams, the Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, Washington Football Team and Dallas Cowboys, are playing on the road.
And for the first time all season, all four teams are underdogs by more than a touchdown in the same week.
And thus, because of legalized NJ sports betting, the NFC Least does not have to become the NFC Lost. Moneyline and alternate line parlays entice gamblers who don’t simply want to write off these weak teams.
NFC East wagering possibilities
So how does one approach the NFC East games when the teams don’t have a great shot at winning?
One can select a moneyline parlay going against all four teams.
You can’t play the favorites on these moneylines anyway. Here is a look at the DraftKings Sportsbook lines as of Friday afternoon:
- Green Bay Packers at -385 versus the Eagles
- Undefeated Pittsburgh Steelers at -360 against Washington
- Seattle at a whopping -560 against the likely Daniel Jones-less Giants
- Baltimore, with Lamar Jackson presumably back, at -385 versus the Cowboys
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) December 4, 2020
Bettors also may not trust the underdogs with points.
But taking Green Bay, Seattle, Pittsburgh and Baltimore to simply win those games is +134 at DraftKings. Yes, you have to win all four, but those odds are reasonable for what many bettors in the New Jersey-New York corridor consider a strong possibility.
Is it plausible that one of the favorites could stumble?
Certainly. But this type of bet revives a potentially lost weekend for backers of the NFC Least.
Expand the concept, and the Miami Dolphins, favored by more than 11 points against the Joe Burrow-less Cincinnati Bengals, make the odds of a five-team moneyline parlay of strong favorites +176.
Here’s another die-hard loyalty prop for fans of the NFC Least teams.
Go with the Eagles, Washington Football Team and New York Giants via the alternate-line spread. Give them each a touchdown on the alternate line. This moves Philadelphia and Washington to +15.5 and the Giants all the way up to +17. The odds on this three-team parlay are +123 at DraftKings. You can add Dallas when the Tuesday game becomes available, and this payout will go up.
The alternate spreads are prohibitive individually, but as a package, they can be played.
These bets may not yield thrilling payoffs, but alternate-line parlays are the fastest-growing form of NFL betting. It’s practiced heavily by players who put six-figure trust in these scenarios.
Bettors can do it for much less and keep their blood pressure intact.
For a second angle, you can key the Kansas City Chiefs, two-touchdown picks against the Denver Broncos, in varied tickets with different teams.
This is also a good week to explore props that pay a little better than even money but have a realistic chance of hitting. The early review of the books reveals numerous gimmick-type enticements that are fun, but unrealistic.
Check closer to kickoff; some other good ones may emerge.
Week 13: QB-receiver tandem touted
The custom bet section has produced some reasonable possibilities for a quarterback teamed with his favorite receiver to hit two targets.
For the Las Vegas Raiders, playing the New York Jets, quarterback Derek Carr to throw for at least 275 yards, and Henry Ruggs III to collect 75 of them pays a robust +333 via Fox Bet NJ. Ruggs is an excellent deep threat, the playmaker who helped transform the Raiders at the beginning of the season.
Bettors of this prop are projecting the Jets to stay close enough that Carr needs to pass throughout the fourth quarter.
Going deep, Taysom Hill and Matt Ryan to both throw for 300 yards when the New Orleans Saints visits the Atlanta Falcons pays +1800. Why the big number? They both threw in the low 230s in New Orleans’ earlier 24-9 win. Asking 70 yards more from both of them is a lot.
The Cleveland Browns and Tennessee Titans meet in a matchup of powerful running teams. But the over-under total of 53 is the highest on the board.
Can each team score in each quarter? Yes is +560.
Realistically, most teams have one quarter in each game with limited (maybe one) possessions, making these bets always tough to hit. But they are fun and can be cashed with a little luck.
DraftKings Week 13 combos
Can the New England Patriots and Arizona Cardinals both win?
They have been boosted to a nice +360 if they can both prevail on the moneyline. The Cardinals, at +2.5, are +130 on the moneyline, and the Patriots, at -1, are -114. The value in this play is the Cardinals, creating a good payday by linking with the average payout of the Patriots.
It will be challenging, as the Patriots must win on the road against the Los Angeles Chargers, against whom they are favored by one point. The Cardinals are +2.5 at home against the Los Angeles Rams.
Can the Saints, Titans and Raiders prevail? Yes has been boosted from +200 to +225, essentially eliminating the vig.
New Orleans is 7-0 with quarterback Drew Brees out, going back to last year. Can the Saints keep it going, or is this the week the streak snaps?
The Titans and the Raiders are considerable favorites. To sweep the parlay, you are looking for two road teams to prevail.
FanDuel Sportsbook tweaking the lines
FanDuel Sportsbook gives a mild Week 13 boost to the Jets (at +9 against the Raiders) and Eagles, both at +8.5. This has been hiked to +275.
It also boosted the Dolphins at -5.5 versus the Cincinnati Bengals and the Packers -2.5 against the Eagles from -127 to +125. Miami and Green Bay are getting six points better than the spread.
BetMGM thinking big Week 13 boost
Do you like the idea of combining a prohibitive moneyline favorite with two dogs?
Here’s one from BetMGM sportsbook.
The Houston Texans, Minnesota Vikings and Cleveland Browns have been boosted from +740 to +900 for all three to win. This is tantalizing because the size of the boost is enticing and you are getting one big favorite in the Vikings against the one-win Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Texans are a live home underdog against the Colts, and the Browns are a less than a touchdown underdog against the Tennessee Titans.
Cover the money: It’s intoxicating to hit a three-team parlay, but remember the price of the dogs by themselves. Cleveland is +220, and Houston is +160.
If you happen to like either of them individually, isolate them on a moneyline wager. It will protect the entire bet. You can also take Cleveland and Houston in a ticket for +732.
Photo by Associated Press