NFL Week 14 brings the NJ online sportsbook equivalent of wild-card mania at a blackjack table.
Some of the odds boosts require extraordinary developments, like three players scoring.
Some have real chances if the games break a certain way.
Bettors have the task of keeping fun bets in perspective and selecting realistic props that enhance their bottom lines. Here’s a look at some of the Week 14 NJ sports betting options.
Week 14 custom bets and bet boosts
Many good choices occur via Fox Bet, broken into a couple of different categories.
The site has expanded the menu, including a custom bet section. This abundant list is separate from the bet boost area, which contains a select few wagers with boosted odds.
The New York Giants-Arizona Cardinals game sports an excellent menu.
Start with the running backs. Wayne Gallman of the Giants, who popped loose for 135 yards last week against the Seattle Seahawks, is +225 to score a touchdown and notch 75 yards.
Gallman and Kenyan Drake, Arizona’s lead back, will return +350 (boosted from +300) if they each obtain 75 rushing yards. No TD needed. Drake had 49 yards last week, as his Cardinals were trailing the entire second half against the Los Angeles Rams.
To like this bet, you’re figuring the game goes back and forth, as the line of Arizona -2.5 suggests.
Will Kyler Murray be money?
A number of props concern Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray, as they should. He has one of the most unbelievable — and rarely discussed — 2020 feats. Murray has scored a rushing touchdown in every Cardinals victory. That’s mind-boggling. They can’t win if he doesn’t rush one in.
That is most likely an unprecedented NFL achievement for this late in the season.
So what happens here? Murray isn’t isolated to score on the early boosts, but Murray and his favorite receiver, DeAndre Hopkins, would return +300 if they each tally a touchdown.
And there’s the crossover play. Murray and Darius Slayton of the Giants pay +500 if they each score. Slayton has been the Giants’ forgotten man lately, but it only takes one play.
The decline of the Cardinals — they have lost four of their last five — has coincided with reduced running from Murray. Does he come back to that this week with the team sinking from the playoff picture?
Looking at the value of a field goal
Can each team notch two touchdowns and a single field goal in the Giants-Cardinals game? The return is -110. Two touchdowns and two field goals is +333.
It’s not an easy accomplishment in the age of coaches foregoing field goals, but teams are getting burned by reckless fourth-down gambles and may return to conventional thinking.
The Eagles have accomplished the two-touchdown, two field-goal feat exactly once this year. That would be their Week 3 23-23 tie with the Cincinnati Bengals.
That’s why the prop is much higher in their game with the New Orleans Saints. Can the Eagles and Saints each get a touchdown and a field goal in each half?
A yes is +1250.
Two touchdowns and two field goals from each team overall pays +450.
To play either of these longshot bets, one believes the Eagles will be in the game long enough for a fourth-quarter field-goal attempt to matter. It has long odds for a reason and is complicated by Doug Pederson’s unconventional thinking regarding field goals.
But it has been 11 weeks since this happened. Something like this is due for this team sooner or later. A couple of bucks at the max.
Most of the props involving new starting quarterback Jalen Hurts have him combining with yardage totals for receivers. Tough to handicap for his first game.
Other Week 14 odds boosts
First-quarter magic is a theme this week with Fox Bet odds boosts.
Will Tyreek Hill score a touchdown in the first quarter for the Kansas City Chiefs against the Miami Dolphins?
Pat Mahomes likes to target him deep and early. It has been boosted from +450 to +500. Here is another option: Hill is +120 to collect 75 yards and a score anytime.
The Dallas Cowboys may air it out with running back Zeke Elliott hampered by an injury he’s expected to play through.
Rookie receiver Cee Dee Lamb is +300 for 75 yards and a score. He is a deep threat. Michael Gallup is +350 for the same requirements.
Yes, the Cowboys have been awful, but quarterback Andy Dalton returns home to play against the team he led for many years. If that doesn’t motivate him, nothing will.
However, the Bengals face a weak Cowboys defense, but this is a new offensive scheme with Joe Burrow out for the year. Who will emerge?
We don’t really know, for prop-betting purposes.
Josh Jacobs returns +500 (boosted from +400) for the Las Vegas Raiders if he can score in the first quarter against the Indianapolis Colts.
FanDuel Sportsbook has a smaller section of odds boosts this week. The main one involves eliminating the vig.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have been boosted from -110 to +110 to cover 1.5 against the host Buffalo Bills on Sunday night. The maximum bet is $50.
DraftKings Sportsbook also offers a small menu, boosting a moneyline parlay for the New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks from +114 to +120. Not a big move, but the bettor is getting three teams favored by a touchdown or more. The Packers and Saints have to win on the road; Seattle is home to the New York Jets.
Shop and create your own odds boost
Sometimes an odds boost is the data one receives from research.
BetMGM sportsbook hasn’t boosted these parlays but has grouped a few. The Tennessee Titans, Houston Texans and Minnesota Vikings will pay +675 if they all win. All three have road games, with Tennessee playing at the Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston invading the Chicago Bears and the Vikings visiting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Take the same parlay, manually, at William Hill (now Caesars), and it pays +722.
This gives you an idea about the value of a set of games. If you like a set of them, you can see if one book or another boosts its payout. It also inspires the idea to build your own prop.
Photo by Associated Press