Smile, Philadelphia Eagles fans. Carson Wentz is gone from the team but he is not forgotten in financial circles.
Carson's first touchdown in Indy. 🛬 pic.twitter.com/FFOfypWiii
— Indianapolis Colts (@Colts) March 18, 2021
Here are some ways to stay linked with him.
You could bid on his $1.7 million home for sale in Woodstown.
— NBC10 Philadelphia (@NBCPhiladelphia) March 5, 2021
Of course, even though he left town, there are still several NJ sports betting angles in play, including Wentz futures.
DraftKings Sportsbook recently posted team futures and individual MVP odds for the 2021 season, tossing some excitement into the period between now and the April 29 NFL Draft.
After the trade that brought him from the Eagles to the Indianapolis Colts, Wentz was one of the biggest movers on the MVP board. He went from +4000 to +3300 at DraftKings, a significant change.
Oddsmakers expect him to enjoy the new scenery. Numbers predict Wentz and the Colts will outperform Jalen Hurts, whom he was benched for late in the Eagles’ 4-11-1 campaign, at a reasonable price.
Wentz lands with an 11-5 team that made the playoffs last season and lost quarterback Phillip Rivers to retirement.
Here is a closer look at ways to wager on Wentz.
Team futures: Colts odds to win AFC South
FanDuel Sportsbook has an attractive price on the Colts, at +110, to win the AFC South.
This is really a bet on Indianapolis versus the Tennessee Titans (+115), at fair odds. The Jacksonville Jaguars (+1000) and Houston Texans (+1300) will likely just fill out the division field.
Indy being the early favorite confirms the oddsmakers’ faith in Wentz.
While the Colts are expected to win their division, the Eagles are not. They’re projected +500, last place in the NFC East, according to FanDuel.
The Colts are also +2300 to win the Super Bowl. The Eagles are +8000, the same number as the New York Jets.
Looking at Carson Wentz MVP odds
Wentz’ +3300 at DraftKings is not bad. Wentz has a good team around him now. While he threw an NFL worst 15 picks last season (along with Drew Lock of the Denver Broncos) that’s apparently water under the sports betting bridge.
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs is tops on the DraftKings’ board at +600. And Aaron Rodgers, the 2020 winner, from the Green Bay Packers, is a close second at +800.
Here are some of the second-tier names:
- Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills at +1300
- Tom Brady, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, +1600
- Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens, +1600
- Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys, +1600
- Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams, +1600.
Keep in mind that Prescott will be returning from a serious ankle injury.
And Stafford has issues staying healthy, too.
Carson Wentz vs. Baker Mayfield
Sure, Wentz is further down the list, but also consider that he is ahead of some quarterbacks coming off much better seasons.
Baker Mayfield is coming off an excellent season with the Cleveland Browns. He led them to the playoffs and within a heartbeat of the AFC title game.
Mayfield (+4000) threw 26 touchdowns against only eight interceptions. His numbers would be higher, but Cleveland had the league’s best rushing tandem of Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt.
Wentz finished the season on the bench, yet he has a higher MVP chance than Mayfield, on a playoff team.
This is an excellent value if nothing else.
What about these quarterbacks?
So who else is behind Wentz?
Derek Carr of the Las Vegas Raiders, who is brittle and getting long in the tooth, is +5000.
Same odds for Kirk Cousins of the Minnesota Vikings. He could be classified as a perennial underachiever.
Then there is Joe Burrow (also +5000). The Cincinnati Bengals rookie phenom and 2020 No. 1 overall pick missed the final six games of last season.
And how unusual is the Wentz-Jalen Hurts symmetry?
Wentz was traded because the Eagles believe Hurts has more value. But the oddsmakers have not seen that memo. They list Hurts at +6600, exactly double the odds of Wentz winning an MVP.
Much of it has to do with the supporting cast, of course. However, the player the Eagles benched and traded has higher 2021 expectations than the quarterback who stayed.
Toward the bottom of the pack is Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons, +8000.
Pittsburgh Steeler Ben Roethlisberger, the subject of retirement rumors, is +10000. So is Jimmy Garoppolo, the QB of the San Francisco 49ers, and Daniel Jones, the quarterback for the New York Giants team that finished ahead of the Eagles last year.
Drew Brees has retired.
All told, there are some pretty good quarterbacks with longer betting odds than Wentz.
You can’t expect him to win this, but the odds project optimism on some other Wentz bets.
More Carson Wentz odds to come
Later on, the books will post Indianapolis’ projected total and passing statistics for Wentz.
Indianapolis head coach Frank Reich worked magic with the interception-prone Phillip Rivers last year. Given a solid running game and good protection, Rivers threw for 4,169 yards and hurled 24 touchdowns versus only 11 interceptions.
Wentz can hit those numbers and maybe more. But his yardage prop, slightly more than 3,600 yards last year, could settle at less than Rivers’ total because Wentz had a statistically down year.
If Wentz throws two touchdown passes a game, he’s at 32 for the season. But that prop might be listed in the mid-20s, given what Rivers did. See if that edge materializes when odds get posted.
Of course, there is an intangible to consider here as Wentz is reuniting with Reich, the head coach of the Colts.
Reich was the Eagles’ offensive coordinator when Wentz enjoyed his best season, 2017. But an injury late in the year curtailed his budding MVP season. His mobility took a big hit but Wentz can scramble a little better than Rivers now.
Reich reiterated this week that Wentz retains top-level tools. He also cites 2019, in which Wentz led the Eagles to four-straight wins and a playoff berth, as proof of the quarterback’s leadership skills.
The Colts will help by asking him to manage games, not try to win them himself.
It’s not easy for many Eagles fans to see Wentz in a new place.
But bettors don’t have to say goodbye. They can simply say “Hello” to the next wager.
AP Photo/Derik Hamilton