Philadelphia Eagles bettors can thank the Dallas Cowboys as the NFL betting season creeps closer.
Well, the Cowboys, as we insist here every year, are overbet throughout the country.
This enhances the value of the Eagles and New York Giants in particular regarding NFL futures bets and selected props at New Jersey online sportsbooks.
NJ sports betting factors to consider
The Cowboys did not make the playoffs last year, but they are the + 130 chalk at DraftKings Sportsbook to win the NFC East.
The defending division champion Washington Football Team is next at +230
The Giants are +450
The Eagles are +550
Here’s a deeper betting-odds shock in a division that went down to the final game last year:
The Eagles and Giants are + 8000 to have the No. 1 playoff seed after the regular season.
It’s remote, of course, and few bettors believe these teams will finish ahead of the Green Bay Packers and defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Bucs, among other elite squads.
But with that said, Dallas is +1200.
These betting- odds don’t reflect division parity. They project the enormous expectation that Dak is back.
It’s a big position to take. A Week 5 injury to quarterback Dak Prescott helped ruin the Cowboys’ 2020 campaign.
The star quarterback, who signed a $160-million extension this offseason, is now battling a shoulder injury in training camp. Prescott has soreness in his throwing shoulder and was shut down for parts of camp.
The odds ignore the potential effect of him not being ready and Dallas trying to improve from having the third-worst NFC defense last year.
Dallas Cowboys are a hype machine
The public, both casual and sharp players, hop on the Cowboys bandwagon
And when it comes to betting, this matters.
“Dallas gets the most money pretty much every year,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told NJ Gambling Sites. “The Cowboys are usually perceived as the team that will win that division.
“That’s a lot different than the case of, say, the Giants. When they have a good team, it’s usually a sneak attack, nobody saw it coming. Washington is not that good, year over year.”
As far as the Philadelphia Eagles go, Avello said they “are in kind of hit-and-miss situation right now.”
“Dallas is always expected to do well. This year, it’s because the Cowboys have Dak Prescott coming back but how healthy is he really? Dallas is not going to win without him and the Cowboys may not even win with him,” said Avello.
A closer look at the Prescott angle
Here are some other Cowboys bets, with a Prescott angle.
Think of the following props with Prescott and then imagine them with the likes of Ben DiNucci, Garrett Gilbert, or Cooper Rush, the perceived backups.
Will Dallas go 6-0 against the NFC East?
Yes is + 1400. Granted, the odds are long, but Dallas was 2-4 against this group last year.
Will CeeDee Lamb, Michael Gallup, and Amari Cooper, the best receiving trio in the division if not the entire NFC, total 3,500 receiving yards between them? Yes is +400.
Last year they had just under 2,900. Unless Prescott makes a full return, this is a big ask.
With Prescott in, these numbers could be reached, perhaps barely.
Hard to endorse.
Looking at Philadelphia Eagles props
The Eagles have some interesting props too.
Some involved top draft pick DeVonta Smith, the Heisman Trophy-winning, Messiah-dubbed receiver in the Eagles’ offense.
He’s +300 to reach 1,000 receiving yards.
Smith also is +800 to secure at least 10 receiving touchdowns.
However, at least at this moment, Quez Watkins props are not included. But his 79-yard catch-and-run TD from a screen pass in the preseason opener against the Pittsburgh Steelers has generated excitement.
On the defensive side, Fletcher Cox and Brandon Graham are +250 to deliver at least 14 sacks between them. That’s reasonable. It’s less than one sack per game.
The pair combined for 14.5 sacks last season. The concern is whether both veterans stay healthy. Cox missed time last season with a stinger.
Will the Eagles have a winning record?
Yes is +250.
That’s not only a reasonable betting price but a line that suggests some confidence.
NY Giants also have intriguing options
Can Daniel Jones throw for 24 touchdowns and the G-Men win the NFC East? It’s +700 for yes.
Jones did throw 24 touchdowns two years ago. Should he stay healthy, that’s a reasonable expectation, less than 1.5 TDs per game.
Getting +700 on that when the Giants are +450 to win the division?
This could be worth a little betting slice for bettors who like Big Blue to take the NFC East.
Here’s a 3-for-1 proposition: top pick Kadarius Toney, Kenny Golladay, and Evan Engram to combine for 15 touchdown receptions. It’s +300 and allows the flexibility for one player to have a breakout season and you can win even if one or both of the others are sub-par.
Avello said bettors are steadily picking up the pace on props. More will come after the second preseason weekend is out of the way.
The betting cat-mouse game
Caesars Sportsbook has the Eagles at +280 to make the playoffs, -350 for no.
At first glance, that looks like no bet either way. The prevailing wisdom is that no NFC East team will qualify as a wild card. Win the division or else.
Last year, the Washington Football Team won the division at 7-9.
The “no” version, however, may fit a segmented market that leverages big betting odds. Some bettors slam what they consider probable and may risk $10,000 to win $3,500.
If the bankroll is big enough, it’s a reasonable return on investment.
But the cost of losing once is exorbitant.
At FanDuel Sportsbook, the division betting board reflects a little more respect for the Giants. Here are the odds as of Wednesday afternoon:
- Dallas +130
- Washington +260
- Giants +400
- Eagles +450
This board will benefit bettors of the Washington Football Team. For Giants bettors, it’s a sign that there are some expectations for the team.
AP Photo/Ron Jenkins