Football Five: Will The Two-Point Conversion Impact NFL Week 7 Games?

Last week we saw two games in which the 2-point coversion impacted NJ sports betting payouts. Will NFL Week 7 be a different story?

The New York Giants were part of an NFL trend that may have reached an extreme Sunday. The Washington Football Team went for two point, and failed.

Had the play gone the other way, Big Blue may be sitting at 9-6 instead of 1-5.

Here’s something to ponder: Has the thinking on two-point conversions gone overboard?

Two coaches tried them in big situations Sunday and lost games.

Time to  examine the Football Five for NFL Week 7

1. Washington + the 2-point gamble

Riverboat Ron Rivera, the coach of the Washington Football Team, gambled on a two-point conversion rather than kick the extra point Sunday afternoon.  Washington scored a  touchdown against the Giants with 38 seconds left in the game.

When the conversion failed, New York had its first win of the season, 20-19.  This was a bizarre decision because the Giants did not have enough time left to score in regulation and Rivera could have taken his chances in overtime.

Who got burned, besides Washington?

Bettors of New York at -1.5 to -3 points and those who gambled on the game getting to overtime. Even the NJ sports betting customers who took the  over 43 total points might have obtained a push with an overtime field goal or a possible victory with an overtime TD.

Bettors have a difficult time with unconventional coaching.  And so do the franchises.

Rivera’s team would have looked a lot better at 2-4 than 1-5, especially with this week’s home game against the 2-4 Dallas Cowboys.

2. Bold + aggressive decision, part 2

Bold aggressive decisions, part 2 pertains to  the Houston Texans coughing up a game they seemingly had in their pockets against the Tennessee Titans.

Romeo Crennel of Houston made a puzzling decision. The Texans scored a late TD to go up 36-29, but he decided to go for two points and it failed.

Wondering what happened next?

The Titans rumbled down the field and scored with four seconds left. Then they kicked the extra point to force overtime. They won the coin toss, scored a TD on the ensuing drive and Houston lost not only the game but the cover of +3 at DraftKings  Sportsbook.

Crennel should have kicked the extra point, forcing Tennessee to get a touchdown AND a two-point conversion to forge a tie. That puts a lot of pressure on the offensive team.

Crennel said he sought the knockout punch in going for two points. Understandable.  But he put the pressure on his own team to make the two-point conversion. Better to force the opponent to make it.

When the two-point tactic failed, consequences were severe for the affected teams Sunday.  Riverboat Ron crapped out and Crennel lost in overtime.  This double dose of aggression may cause a reduction in outright boldness throughout the league.

More teams have become more aggressive,  but what happened Sunday could be a tipping point the other way.

3. NFL Week 7:  must-see, must bet

The dream matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans is on for Sunday. Both teams are 5-0 and displaying more sophistication each week. The game is highly bettable with the line appealing to gamblers on both sides.

Tennessee showed ingenuity in lining up Derrick Henry from the quarterback spot on the game-winning touchdown run against the Texans.

Pittsburgh shows the ability to pass the ball deep, flood several receivers to one side and use the continued rejuvenation of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben is having a remarkable year with11 touchdowns and only  one interception. Chase Claypool has emerged as a new deep threat to go with a talented receiving corp.

Ryan Tannehill is an underrated star for Tennessee at quarterback and Henry is the league’s best rusher, by far. Add a 94-yard scoring run against Houston on Sunday to that ledger.

4. Teams are down, but never out

Coming into Week 6, there had been a team each week that had been down at least 16 points and come back to win. That streak continued Sunday.

The Indianapolis Colts trailed the Cincinnati Bengals 21-0 in the second quarter. But they stormed all the way back to triumph, 31-27.

The Colts were likely +300 or better when they trailed 21-0. If you believed in them, that was a profitable leap of faith.

The loss will be disheartening for Cincinnati, but will probably build a level of resolve.  Bengals bettors weren’t sulking much. Cincinnati covered the +8 spread at DraftKings and FanDuel Sportsbook and became 5-1 against the spread this season, tops in the league.

Cincinnati hosts the Cleveland Browns in another Battle of Ohio. Indianapolis joins the Minnesota Vikings on the bye.

5. Can’t  “over” state the numbers

Through five weeks, the NFL sported its best offensive totals in history.

The league had scored 453 touchdowns. That’s more than 90 per week, up about 20 over most seasons.

Speedy receivers and the lack of double-team coordination with defensive safeties and corners contributes to the scoring spike, Bettors love it because it brings more props and score anytime wagers into play.

Extra Considerations for NFL Week 7

We’ve talked here about new coaches with the Houston Texans and the Atlanta Falcons the last two weeks. Each provided a win and a cover in the first game.  The Falcons became one of the last teams to win their first game this season, securing a 40-23 stomping of the Minnesota Vikings last Sunday.

There is no longer an undefeated team against the spread, as the Green Bay Packers were crushed by the Tampa Bay Bucs 38-10. The Pack visits the Texans this week.

The 1-4 Los Angeles Chargers are much better than their record. Heartbreaking losses to the Kansas City Chiefs and New Orleans Saints are on their ledger. They are due to win.

The line does you no favors this week as the Chargers host Jacksonville, but they can be used in some other moneyline parlays

Associated Press 


NJ Sports Betting Soars To Record $750 Million In Bets In September

How would the start of the 2020 NFL Season, minus the fans, impact September’s NJ sports betting handle?

Well, looking at the  $748.5 million handle reported earlier today by the New Jersey Division of Gaming Enforcement, the word HUGE comes to mind. Not surprisingly, 90.6% came via mobile apps.

And it’s $80.6 million more than August’s $667.9 million. This makes it back-to-back months in which the Garden State has hit all-time highs for handle.

We’re talking any legal US sports betting jurisdiction, even Nevada.

NJ sports betting revenue came in at $45 million,  good enough for a 19% year-over-year increase.

Here’s a closer look at three factors that can be attributed to the September’s results.

Broken record: FanDuel is still killing it

No matter what month we’re talking about, Meadowlands Racetrack, the land-based partner of FanDuel Sportsbook, is dominating the field.

September was no exception with $28.1 million in revenuePointsBet NJ also operates under the license, but NJ Gambling Sites understands that FanDuel accounts for the bulk of it.

For the month, the Meadowlands/FanDuel claimed a 62.3% market share.

Resorts Digital, which consists of DraftKings Sportsbook, Fox Bet, and the self-branded app, finished an extremely distant second with $4.7 million.

Borgata (BetMGM and Borgata Sports) was the only other license holder to crack $4 million in revenue,  $4.06 million to be exact.

September sports calendar was stacked

Sports bettors have never seen a September like the one that just passed.

Sure, NFL betting and the tail end of the Major League Baseball season are the norms.

However, the 2020 version also included the NBA and NHL playoffs along with PGA Tour’s U.S Open.  So besides the buzz generated by the NFL’s opening weekend, the menu of additional options resembled a gourmet restaurant for sports bettors.

When the COVID-19 pandemic shut down the pro sports world back in March, eventually there was going to be a month where every major pro sport would be playing meaningful games.

September was it.

Will it happen again? It’s hard to predict anything these days.

Cross-selling with online casino

In case you haven’t noticed, the NJ online casino market is enjoying quite a run of its own.

September’s $87.6 million may not be an all-time high, but it’s pretty close to being one. The $87.7 million from August still tops the charts. For those keeping track, this would be five straight months of online casino revenue exceeding $80 million.

Some of it can be attributed to Atlantic City casinos operating at 25% capacity.

At the same time, the bulk of the NJ sportsbook apps out there have sports and casino offerings integrated in the same platform. Access to a shared wallet combined with cross-selling promotions makes it a win-win for operators and players.

The proof comes in the latest numbers.

How big will NJ sports betting handle get?

At the moment, there are no signs of the NJ sports betting market slowing down.

Sure the NBA and NHL recently crowned their respective champions, but NFL and college football are the bigger draws. And those seasons still have a long way to go.

And with baseball there is the excitement of the Tampa Bay Rays, not New York Yankees, shocking the baseball world as the American’s League top team. They are one win a way from making it to only the second World Series in franchise history. (Although interest in the Yankees would have probably helped boost handle a bit.)

The other came in 2008 when the  Philadelphia Phillies won it all.

But could the current scenario result in the first $800 million month in NJ sports betting history?

AP Photo/Brett Duke

Football Five: Giants And Jets Enter NFL Week 6 Desperately Seeking Wins

The NFL Week 6 schedule includes the 0-5 Gants giving 2.5 points against Washington while the winless Jets head to Miami as 8.5-point underdogs,

The season becomes more intriguing and exciting as teams get ready for NFL Week 6.

Several teams are still seeking their first wins of the season. This includes the two franchises who call MetLife Stadium home

And there’s the situation in Dallas in which the Cowboys will be playing without Dak Prescott. More on his season-ending injury later.

Hard to believe as we enter NFL Week 6 that there has already been two coaching changes.

Let’s look at the Football Five.

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 Jets + Giants = zero moneyline payouts

The New York Jets and New York Giants are the latest example of why the NFL should be grateful to legalized NJ sports betting. If the 18 NJ sportsbook apps didn’t exist, imagine what  the lack of interest would be like in the NFL’s largest market.

The two teams are a combined  0-10 on the moneyline.

The Giants at least have a pulse and are 3-2 against the spread. The there are the Jets are so bad that the even the cutouts are staying home.

Looking ahead to Week 6, the Giants are hosting  the Washington Football Team, and are favored  for the first time this year. DraftKings Sportsbook set the opening line at Giants – 3.5 prompted, which  enough Washington money to move it down to -2.5  early Wednesday morning. .

This line could move throughout the week, so timing will be important.

The Jets are +8.5 against the host Miami Dolphins, who just plastered the San Francisco 49ers, 43-17.

And New York will be playing without  running back Le’Veon Bell, who was released on Tuesday.

Trusting  Justin Herbert + the Chargers

Justin Herbert, the rookie signal caller for the Los Angeles Chargers,  was brilliant against the New Orleans Saints Monday night. Unfortunately, his efforts were undermined by kicker Michael Badgley.

Herbert took the Chargers into the end zone in the fourth quarter and into position to win on the last play of regulation.  But Badgley’s game-winning field goal hit the upright.

In overtime, after the New Orleans Saints  kicked a field goal, the Chargers were stopped half a yard shy of a first down at midfield. Los Angeles nearly beat the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs and now the Saints.

They are a deceiving 1-4, and should be strong when they return from the bye week. The Chargers  will put a hurting on somebody in the not-too-distant future.

Cowboys +the  Prescott factor

The NFL has been sending get-well wishes to Dallas superstar Dak Prescott, who was lost for the season in the team’s 37-34 triumph over the Giants on Sunday.

What does the loss of Prescott  mean to the line? Nearly six points. The Cowboys were -3 against the Arizona Cardinals in early betting for Monday Night’s game. Now they are + 2.5, a swing of almost a touchdown.

Dallas is looking smart for signing Andy Dalton in the off-season.  The former Bengals quarterback had hit a ceiling with that team and could not get them past the early round of the playoffs.

Now he inherits a Cowboys offense loaded with talent. Zeke Elliott is a premier runner, rookie CeeDee Lamb has emerged as a star receiver, and Dalton himself is a veteran.

Prescott’s injury does remove the Cowboys mystique, however. Opponents know they are facing Dalton and will pressure a quarterback who is far less mobile than Prescott.

Oddity upon oddity. The Cowboys, at 2-3,  lead the NFC Least. Dallas has scored a whopping 163 points, the second highest total in football behind the Seattle Seahawks (169 points).

With all that offense, guess how many times the Cowboys have covered the spread?


Dallas has also given up 180 points, which leads the NFL.

Super Bowl champs come back to earth

The Las Vegas Raiders not only knocked the Kansas City Chiefs from the unbeaten ranks, but manhandled them in Sunday’s 40-32 win. At +10.5 no less. Las Vegas removed some of Patrick Mahomes’ crossing patterns, making him work for everything he got.

The Chiefs are showing some holes. They have had significant stretches of offensive inactivity during three of their games and the defense is shaky.

They looked to be on another planet  after defeating the Baltimore Ravens, 34-20 in Week 3.

Now they are on this one.

Looking at NFL Week 6 point spreads

The Green Bay Packers are the only team to cover the spread in every game (based on the DraftKings Sportsbook lines at  kickoff). In NFL Week 6,  the Packers are giving 2.5  points to Tom Brady and the hosting Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

In Week 5, the Bengals suffered their first loss against the number, being pounded 27-3 by the Ravens. They are still a big +8 in visiting the Indianapolis Colts.

Pittsburgh Steelers bettors are  encountering  late game drama on a weekly basis.  This team plays close to the number every week and with two minutes left, the spread is usually up for grabs.

Take last weekend’s game against the Philadelphia Eagles. The score was 31-29 Pittsburgh for a good chunk of the fourth quarter. The line was Steelers -7.5 points. The home team put the game away with 2:59 remaining when Chase Claypool scored his fourth touchdown of the day,

The Steelers are -3.5 against the visiting Cleveland Browns, winners of four straight overall and three in a row against the spread. Cleveland has hit 30 points on four consecutive weeks for the first time in over 50 years.

The Steelers are 3-1 against the number and are 4-0 for the first time since 1979.

Sportsbook operators will tell you that coaching changes rarely impact the line. But I think they impact performance, as players respond from fear of losing their jobs.  The Texans earned their first win and cover of the season under new coach Romeo Crennel on Sunday.

This week, the Atlanta Falcons finally fired coach Dan Quinn and replaced him with Raheem Morris.  Will the players react?

Atlanta, 0-5 and 1-4 against the spread, is +3.5 when facing the host Minnesota Vikings.

It will be interesting to see if the Falcons show up. Their season is over and the Vikings are in must-win mode at 1-4, including two losses by a single point.

Bettors note: There are no teams giving double-digit points this week.



NFL Week 6 Odds: Eagles Getting 7.5 Points At Home Versus Ravens

The NFL Week 6 has the 1-3-1 Eagles hosting the 4-1 Ravens. The early NJ sports betting line of +7.5 shows Philadelphia has another tough challenge ahead.

The Philadelphia Eagles are once again facing an uphill battle.

The bad news was losing first place in the NFC East (better known as the NFC Least these days) with Sunday’s 38-29 loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers.  This is despite a gallant Philadelphia effort.

Unfortunately, it was coupled with the now first-place Dallas Cowboys’ improbable 37-34 triumph over the New York Giants.

And things aren’t looking much better  for the 1-3-1 Eagles heading into NFL Week 6. The 4-1 Baltimore Ravens are coming to Lincoln Financial Field (1 p.m. ET, CBS). DraftKings Sportsbook had the Eagles odds at +7.5 as of  Monday afternoon.

The Ravens just silenced the Cincinnati Bengals 27-3 on Sunday. These are the  same Bengals who tied the Eagles 23-23 in Week 3. With the Ravens beating the Bengals by 24 points, one might expect a double-digit line on this game.

From a NJ sports betting perspective, It will be interesting to see where the first wave of betting takes this contest.

NFL Week 6 odds updated

The odds for NFL Week 6 are below from the top NJ sportsbooks as of 10 a.m. ET Oct. 12.

NFL Week 6DraftKingsFanDuel Fox Bet

Eagles-Ravens NJ sports betting picture

Philadelphia is 1-3-1 against the spread, but the team has hit the over in its win over the San Francisco 49ers and loss to the Steelers.

The explosive Ravens, meanwhile, have hit the under with point totals of 48 and then 30 in the last two weeks.

And the Ravens are 4-1 against the spread.

Taking an initial look at this week’s game, who thought the Ravens defense would be what the biggest  concern for Eagles backers?

Cincinnati held the high-octane Baltimore offense headed by reigning MVP Lamar Jackson to 20 points on Sunday. That should have been enough for the Bengals to at least cover the 13 points they received across the major NJ sports betting apps.

But the Ravens defense outscored the Bengals offense. Patrick Queen’s 53-yard  fumble recovery for a touchdown made the score 27-0. As a whole, the Ravens  amassed seven sacks of Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow, and produced three turnovers.

On the offensive side, Baltimore  tight end Mark Andrews scored his fifth touchdown of the year Sunday. The Jackson-Andrews connection is one of the NFL’s most lethal combinations, and Philadelphia has been vulnerable to opposing tight ends, yielding five touchdowns.

Wide receiver Marquise Brown is another Ravens’ player to watch. He caught six passes for 77 yards and a touchdown against the Bengals.

Eagles’ WR Travis Fulgham catching on

The Eagles made a household name out of Pittsburgh receiver Chase Claypool. Hnotched four touchdowns and won’t be a surprise on the prop boards anymore.

The Eagles, who scored a season-high 29 points Sunday, fashioned a breakout performance of their own by wide receiver Travis Fulgham. He notched 152 yards and a score, carrying the offense on his back much of the day.

Fulgham, who collected the game-winning touchdown against the 49ers one week earlier, made several critical catches and was a third-down favorite of Wentz.

Prop backers of all Eagles receivers, take note going forward. The Steelers double-teamed Fulgham on an important third-down play as the Eagles tried to march toward the lead. Don’t be surprised if the Ravens double Fulgham this week.

That could open the field for someone else.

 Eagles-Steelers NJ sports betting recap

The over 44.5 came home in a breeze.

Prop backers of Eagles running back Miles Sanders at NJ sportsbooks were rewarded with his 74-yard touchdown run in the first quarter, remarkable against a stingy defense.

Fox Bet paid +300 for the Eagles and Steelers to both score touchdowns in each half.

Bettors who took the Eagles and the points  were burned out of a cover in the final minutes.

Aggressive Eagles coach Doug Pederson had Jake Elliott try a 57-yard field goal in windswept Heinz Field with 3:18 remaining and Philly trailing by two. A deep punt and the use of all three of his timeouts would have given Philadelphia the ball back with one last chance to win. It also would have put Philadelphia +7.5 in many gambler’s pockets, even if the Steelers had run out the clock.

After the long miss, Philadelphia was burned on a senseless facemask penalty that gave Pittsburgh time to do more than run out the clock. On a third-down call, Roethlisberger spotted Claypool free in single coverage down the middle of the field. They connected on a 35-yard touchdown, game pretty much over.

Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz, meanwhile, threw his eighth interception of the year -more than the entire 2019 season – and it set up at a Pittsburgh touchdown to make the score 31-14.

He did bring his team back, getting  to within 31-29. Wentz is taking too long to make decisions and rarely makes a comfortable throw.  At the same time,  his big-time weapons are sidelined with injuries..

Up next: Here comes the NFC Least

Win or lose against the Ravens on Sunday, the Eagles are approaching the critical part of their schedule. We’re talking about three division games over a four-week stretch. And since nobody is running away with the NFC Least, this could the Eagles chance to take control of the division.

Here’s a look at the upcoming schedule:

  • Oct 22: Thursday Night Football home game against the Giants
  • Nov 1: Sunday Night Football home game against the Cowboys
  • Bye week
  • Nov. 15: Giants at MetLife Stadium 

Cowboys minus Dak Prescott + NFC East

The NFC East picture  changed drastically on Sunday. Star Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott suffered a severe ankle injury that required surgery on Sunday night. He is done for the season.

The incident occurred during the  third quarter of Dallas’ 37-34 win over the  Giants.

Former Bengals QB Andy Dalton is taking over the offense. He signed with Dallas during the off-season as an insurance policy for Prescott. And the policy has a claim on it.

It is likely that Dalton will play fairly well. He has significant support in running back Zeke Elliott and an emerging star receiver in CeeDee Lamb.

Injuries aside, the Cowboys are currently the team to beat. Even though the Eagles are no longer a first-place team, they’re still a contender for the NFC East title.

Then again, so are the Cowboys (2-3), Washington (1-4), and Giants (0-5).


NFL Week 5 Odds Boosts: Eagles-Steelers Bettors Rooting For Touchdowns

NFL Odds boosts are where the fun and business element of NJ sports betting intersect.

They create entertaining wagers for bettors who like something different, especially yardage or team-scoring props.

Fox Bet NJ has emerged as a premier player in this space.

Here’s a look at some of the better  Week 5 NFL odds boosts.

Eagles-Steelers touchdown totals

What are the chances the Philadelphia Eagles score a touchdown in each half against the Pittsburgh Steelers?

At the same time, what are the chances the undefeated AFC North leaders do the same?

Well, Fox Bet has boosted this exact scenario from +200 to +300. Both of these teams can usually do that.

Why play it: Scoring is up everywhere in the NFL, so this scenario doesn’t seem like too much to ask.

Through three games, the Steelers have scored a touchdown in every half. The Eagles have done the same in their last two games. If two medium-scoring teams have succeeded at this wager, it’s a good play.

Why skip it: Both offenses go through sporadic periods. One of these teams lay an egg for one half. More importantly, will  field goals replace touchdowns if one team is up big?

Sticking with the same game, there is another odds boost related to Miles Sanders and James Conner.  The running backs to combine for 150 yards total, up from +135 to +160, and is a worthy consideration.

Why play it: This bet has a strong chance to pay out. Both backs are capable of breaking off long runs. You have two guys going at once, rather than each player needing to hit a certain number.

Why skip it: If you think the game could be a blowout, one or both of these backs get taken off the field. Plus, injuries are always a concern in a yardage prop.

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Other NFL odds boosts on Fox Bet board

Todd Gurley and Joe Mixon to score touchdowns is boosted from +200 to +300.

Gurley plays for the Atlanta Falcons and is going against the Carolina Panthers. You’d like him to score and consider that in a separate prop.

Mixon is the mojo for the Cincinnati Bengals running game. This week he is facing a Baltimore Ravens team that has been taking opposing running backs out of the picture by jumping out to  big early leads.

Then is  the New York Giants-Dallas Cowboys game.

Dallas quarterback Dak Prescott is off to an explosive start, throwing for at least 450 yards in each of the Cowboys last three games. The flip side is his team his team is 1-3.

And the Giants are 0-4.

With all this being said, Fox Bet has boosted Prescott to throw for 330 or more yards combined with a Cowboys win from +162 to +200  The tricky selection is needing to believe the Giants will stay close enough to make him throw.

So ironically, a Prescott yardage prop is really a bet on the Giants offense.

Sticking with the quarterback theme, can Russell Wilson throw for three touchdowns and his Seattle Seahawks beat the Minnesota Vikings?

The odds are boosted from +162 to +200. This is intriguing because Seattle’s offensive numbers would indicate he can toss three TDs. At the same time, the Seahawks often run the ball in, and Wilson is a threat to score a rushing touchdown.

Moving the points at FanDuel Sportsbook

We highlighted a prop here last week that came out just as projected.

FanDuel Sportsbook allowed bettors to move the Baltimore RavensWashington Football Team line from -14 to -12 and get a boost from -115 to +110.

The Ravens won 31-17, the exact original number. But this play became a winner on the special FanDuel props boost. Props if you took this prop.

Adjusting the spread, as opposed to a yardage play, remains the focus this week.

The Eagles at +7.5 moves from -120 to +100 against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Maximum bet $50. This changes the odds from laying 6-5 to getting even money, while also getting half a point.

This is an interesting play in conjunction with the overall line. Based on when they make the wager, bettors may get 7-5 on this game for larger bets anyway, but it will be -110, not +100.

Bettors can also move the Vikings up to -8.5 against the Seahawks, the Kansas City Chiefs down to -10.5 against the Las Vegas Raiders, and the Cowboys to -7.5 against the Giants. It boosts the payout from +479 to +550.

Taking the original lines on these games is +628, but there is substantial line movement in the bettors’ favor in the prop. Kansas City and Dallas both drop a full point and Minnesota moves up by 1.5 points.

Jets odds and positive COVID test

Earlier today, news broke that the New York Jets were sent home as the result of a positive COVID test.

This puts Sundays game against the Arizona Cardinals at MetLife Stadium in jeopardy.

Both FanDuel and DraftKings Sportsbook had the game off the board as of 3:45 p.m. ET today.

Both operators had boosts that involved the Cardinals and may have to be updated.If the game  gets pushed back, bettors may select other options with faster results.

Along that front:

The Denver Broncos at the New England Patriots game is now scheduled for Monday (5 p.m. ET) on ESPN. Sunday’s Buffalo Bills at Tennessee Titans contest now is set to be played on Tuesday (7 p.m. on CBS).

Positive COVID testing by players moved, yet still preserved, these games.

PointsBet + No juice spreads

PointsBet NJ has a Saturday special, so to speak. The operator is running a “No Juice Saturday” promo. It applies to NFL point spreads and refers to those odds of +100 or the equivalent (one side listed at -110 and the other at +110). Normal trading limits apply.

This is an excellent play for bettors who know who they like on Saturday and won’t need a late-line Sunday movement to determine their wager.

Gene J. Puskar


Football Five: Which Teams Are Covering The Spread As NFL Week 5 Approaches?

Bettors may be looking at the Eagles odds of +7 against the Steelers. But as NFL Week 5 arrives, the Birds and Giants are not winning against the spread.

The Philadelphia Eagles  finally have some winning momentum on their side. The Birds picked up their first victory of the 2020 NFL season with a 25-20 win over the San Francisco 49ers.

From a NJ sports betting perspective, Philly bettors cashed in big time as the Eagles went off as 9-point underdogs. And the moneyline paid out, too. And it’s a big change from the previous three weeks.

Now that most teams have played four games, this is a good time to look at which teams are faring the best against the spread.

The New York Giants and Jets are two teams you won’t see on this list as both franchise are still seeking that first win.

Time to take a closer look at the latest NFL odds  with the  Football Five heading into Week 5.

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Eagles, Giants, and Jets Week 5 odds

The Philadelphia Eagles are traveling to Pittsburgh for a game against the Steelers.

The Birds opened as  a surprising +7 against the host Steelers after upending the defending NFC champion 49ers. The Eagles defense did its part with three turnovers that led to 17 total points in a pivotal victory.

But that was last week.

FanDuel Sportsbook added a significant half point to the Eagles line on Tuesday, moving the line  to 7.5. It was back to 7 as of Wednesday morning.

That extra half point is important for any Eagles backer.

Despite losing 17-9 to the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday,, the Giants, actually covered the spread and showed a stout defense.

But offensively, they haven’t scored a touchdown since Week 2. That should change against the Dallas Cowboys, who were scorched for 49 points against the Cleveland Browns.  The visiting G-Men are getting 10 points at DraftKings Sportsbook while FanDuel has the line at 9.5.

The Jets played with heart in last week’s Thursday Night Football game before falling to  0-4 with a 37-28 loss to the Denver Broncos.

A dropped pass by tight end Chris Herndon on the final drive probably prevented victory.

But Jets bettors jumped on a +7.5 number at FanDuel Sportsbook against the Arizona Cardinals on Monday Morning. That line quickly dropped to 6.5 at the two books. Fox Bet still had the Jets +7  Wednesday morning.

Which NFL teams are beating the spread?

Bettors like to know: who is covering the number.

Here are top teams and their upcoming schedule compiled by Nj Gambling Sites.  Results are determined  by DraftKings odds at game time.

Odds for the upcoming week are from DraftKings and FanDuel unless otherwise noted.

Cincinnati Bengals, 4-0

Yes sir, this 2-12 team from last year is climbing upward with rookie quarterback Joe Burrow. The Bengals are +13.5 against the high-flying Baltimore Ravens this week. You know expectations are high when the bookmakers gave the Jacksonville Jaguars three points when Cincinnati entering Sunday’s game winless. The Bengals then prevailed 33-25.

Seattle Seahawks, 4-0

Partially expected, this is an excellent team. Seattle is-7 against the visiting Minnesota Vikings this week. Closest calls to not covering?

First, they stopped Cam Newton on the 1-yard line to preserve a five-point lead on the final play.  The Seahawks were 4.5-point favorites  to the New England Patriots. They provided a gift to bettors the next week in a 38-31 win over the Dallas Cowboys. Again giving 4.5. They were losing 31-30 late and had third down from the Dallas 29.

Go for the field goal, right? Nope.

Quarterback Russell Wilson threw deep, secured a touchdown, and Seattle -4.5 bettors rejoiced.

Green Bay Packers, 4-0

Green Bay is 4-0 against the spread and in the standings. The system is clicking with quarterback Aaron Rodgers and  whoever steps up plays a role. The Packers have bye week.

Buffalo Bills, 3-0-1

The Bill are the real deal this year. They stole the push at -3 in a miraculous late-second win over the Rams in Week 3.  And they beat a good Las Vegas Raiders team Sunday. The Bills are scheduled to play the Tennessee Titans on Sunday. However,  there is no early line as last week’s  Titans game against the Steelers was postponed due to several players testing positive for Covid.

Indianapolis Colts 3-1

Good defense is helping Indy overcome a week-one setback to Jacksonville. Last Sunday, the Colts stifled the previously undefeated Chicago Bears, 19-11. Now the Colts are getting ready to  invade Cleveland, and are giving up  1.5 at FanDuel, and are -2  at DraftKings.  This one will pit one of the NFL’s top defenses against a red hot Browns offense. Can’t wait for this one.

Having no luck against the spread

Only the Jets and Houston Texans are winless against the spread.

If the Jets show the same effort against Arizona that they did for Denver, they should at least cover the number.

The Texans will likely be motivated by Monday’s coaching change. Bill O’Brien is out. Romeo Crennel is in as an interim head coach. And the players won’t feel safe. Houston is giving six points to the Jaguars.

 Browns attracting betting attention

The Cleveland Browns’ 49-38 over the Dallas Cowboys was a coming-of-age, get-over-the-hump triumph.

As they prepare to host the Indianapolis Colts, the Browns have cleared a big hurdle. They have won three straight and gone to 3-1 on the moneyline, 2-2 on the spread.

Sunday’s victory re-certified the Browns as a playoff contender, instead of the under-achieving group from last year. Remember that Cleveland improved to 7-8-1 under quarterback Baker Mayfield two years ago. And then they acquired playmaker Odell Beckham Jr. at wide receiver. Playoff expectations came, but the combo did not click last season as  the Browns went 6-10.

Sunday, the combo worked.  In his finest game as a Brown, Beckham scored three times. The last was pure beauty as he helped Cleveland  protect a lead that had shriveled from 41-14 to 41-38 late in the final quarter.

Beckham took an end-around handoff, circled wide to avoid being tackled in the backfield and stormed upfield for a 50-yard score. First down, touchdown, ballgame.

The Browns may have blown the entire lead if they had to punt there. Instead, they found the putaway play that was lacking the last two years. This was an emotional step forward.

The Browns also surpassed 30 points for the third-straight week. That has not happened in 50 years.

The line on Justin Herbert + LA Chargers

Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert looked good for the Los Angeles Chargers in their 38-31 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The final score resulted in a push on the official line.  The Chargers had a 24-7 lead, but a costly mistake at the end of the first half cost them.

They got the ball back on a punt with 50 seconds to go at their own nine. Rather than kneel on the ball and take a 17-point lead into the locker room, the Chargers decided to run a play.

The running play resulted in a fumble.  Tampa Bay recovered the ball and scored just before intermission. That changed the momentum.  If a team runs the ball into the line, it is essentially running out the clock anyway. Why not kneel down there?

Regardless, you can trust Herbert going forward.

NFL betting trend heading into Week 5

The prolific offensive records through the first four weeks are telling us something.  Pass defenders are at least a couple of steps behind the receivers.

Keep this in mind going forward regarding the totals, or over/under,  in NFL games. Same goes with the enticing props like a player to produce certain numbers offensively and his team to win.

Take note that there is one less game this week as the Packers and Detroit Lions are off.

AP Photo/Jed Jacobsohn