How The Eagles, Giants, And Jets Props Look Heading Into NFL Training Camps

As teams report to NFL training camps, here is a look at the Eagles, Giants, and Jets, all likely to attract NJ spots betting attention.

Bring out the spreadsheet. Summon the hunches. NFL training camps opened this week, prompting NJ sports betting customers to seize some futures values and move the lines.

Here’s a brief look at the league-wide betting picture. We are putting a heavier focus on the Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, and New York Jets – New Jersey’s most heavily wagered-upon teams

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Eagles are a long shot in BetMGM totals

Kansas City, here they come.

The Chiefs are the Super Bowl favorites. BetMGM has the Andy Reid-coached team down to +450 from +600, despite being drubbed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last February.

The Bucs also made a strong move, from +1200 to +700.

The Cleveland Browns jumped from +2500 to +1400.

These three teams earned the bulk of the early money. The Eagles garnered less than 1% of the handle, but one bettor put $4,000 on them to win $500,000 at + 12500 (125-1).

How deep is that wagering hoist?

It’s Ron Jaworski to Mike Quick deep, for NJ gamblers recalling that 99-yard scoring strike, longest in Eagles history. Of if you prefer, Randall Cunningham to Fred Barnett, 95 yards and a truly deep throw.

It’s a long shot, but a wager like this hits every year, at some book.

Long odds as NFL training camps open

DraftKings Sportsbook, meanwhile, reflects the notion that Rodney Dangerfield got more respect than the Eagles, Giants, and Jets. Combined, the teams are +33000 (330-1):

  • Jets at +15000
  • Eagles at +10000
  • Giants representing the “chalk” of this group at + 8000 (80-1)

But money can be made on all three teams. Let’s examine them through the lens of a significant prop that could impact their chances.

DraftKings capsule on the Eagles

The Eagles’ odds to win the NFC East are +550 (currently trailing their other three division rivals).

Win total over-under of 6.5.  Over is -130, Under is +110

Remember, this team finished 4-11-1 last season.

What are the Birds’ chances of doing a dramatic 360, as in making the playoffs?

Yes  is+275, No is-350

The key props involve Heisman trophy winner DeVonta Smith, their top draft pick, and Jalen Hurts, set to open at quarterback.

Smith is considered an immediate impact player.

DraftKings has the yardage prop at 777 yards, with the over and under both at -115.

Based on last year’s numbers, Smith would lead the Eagles with this total.  Travis Fulgham had the most, 539 last season. That projects to 572 over the full season. Fulgham was a head-scratcher, going from stud to dud throughout the campaign.

Will Smith step up?

Smith would need 45.1 yards a game to reach this prop. Reasonable.

Some success will be determined by Hurts, who has a low prop bar. This could inspire serious thoughts of betting the over on his season totals.

The DraftKings prop has Hurts at 3,650 yards. That’s below Zach Wilson’s 3,800.5 yards, and Wilson hasn’t even played a down for the Jets.

Hurts is a scrambler, which could reduce his passing total. But he also had two 300-yard plus games for the Eagles last year. The sample size of four games is small, although he produced 896 yards, good for 224 per game and one was in January.

Project that total onto 17 games and he comes out at 3,808. You’ve got some desirable weather in September and October to consider.

But if we break the prop down by NFL weeks, Hurts would only need 215 yards per game to clear this over. So this looks reachable.

He’s also slated for 20.5 over-under for passing touchdowns. His rushing scores could diminish this total, but it’s still less than two per game.

If Hurts and Smith both hit their “overs.” it could enable the Eagles to surpass their modest expectations

A closer look at the New York Giants odds

DraftKings has the Giants’ odds of winning the NFC East at +450 (third behind Dallas and Washington).

New York is coming off a 6-10 season.

Their win total over-under is 7. Over is -130, under is +110

William Hill sportsbook has boosted the Giants from +250 to make the playoffs to +300. Do you believe a second-place team in this division can make the postseason?

It may take 10 wins. But if you think the G-Men have 10 in them, this bet has been boosted.

This could be the year of decision regarding quarterback Daniel Jones and star running back Saquon Barkley.

Jones has a low-bar prop of 3,800.5 yards and 24 touchdowns.

Can “Danny Dimes” rise beyond the stature of wooden nickels for the Giants? The prop requirement, 223  passing yards per game, is not steep. But there’s no perceived edge.

Jones averaged 210 yards per game in 2020 and 232 in 2019.

This projection is part crap-shoot, part anticipation of improvement. Jones has a good arm for a deep ball and has nice new receivers in Kenny Golladay, Kelvin Benjamin, and Kyle Rudolph. If he stops holding the ball too long and spreads the ball well, he hits the over.

A major success factor lies in the next piece of the puzzle: Saquon Barkley.

Glass half-full perspective on Barkley

Barkley returns after missing the last 15 games last season. After Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys (+210), he’s   +700 at DraftKings for Comeback Player of the Year along with Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals.

Remember Barkley’s 2,028 passing and receiving yards in 2018 and 1,441 in 2019? He was sorely missed.

The Giants were 6-10 without him last year and almost made the postseason. He could get them over the top.

Glass half-empty perspective on Barkley

He’s back but inspires only mild confidence.

Barkley suffered a torn ACL on a seemingly routine running play against the Chicago Bears in Week 2. He was wrestled out of bounds. That’s it, and was lost for the season.

It wasn’t a crunching hit.

He’s valuable but vulnerable. Maybe even brittle. Barkley is being coy on returning for Week 1. You also can’t trust him with an individual yardage prop, because his total is divided among passing and rushing.

It may be best to incorporate him into team expectations rather than bet as an individual play.

Jets outlook from DraftKings

The New York Jets are facing the biggest uphill battle as their AFC East division odds  are+2500.

The win total over-under is 6. Under is -120, Over is +100

This franchise is looking to turn things around from last season’s 2-14 mark

The Jets odds of not making the NFL Playoffs is -800. Yes is +550.

Zach Wilson factor heading into first NFL training camp

So how much will the Zach Wilson attack come into play?

Well, heading into his first NFL training camp, Wilson’s team resembles the Eagles.

Trading Sam Darnold to the Carolina Panthers mirrors the Birds dispatching Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts. Replacing Darnold, who the Jets No. 3 overall in the 2018 NFL Draft, with Wilson resembles the Birds turning to Hurts, a second-round pick in 2020.

Can Wilson get you 223 yards per game to reach the 3,800.5 yards and the over? (Both sides are -115).

The Jets took a lineman, Alijah Vera-Tucker, and receiver, Elijah Moore, to help him.

The Jets took offensive players with the first three picks for the first time since 2009.

If nothing else, the J-E-T-S are going to be aggressive.

AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh

 

 

Evaluating Eagles Odds And Props Following 2021 NFL Schedule Release

Now that the 2021 NFL regular season schedule is out, here are seven wagering observations based on odds available at NJ online sportsbooks.

Flip the NFL betting calendar and start circling dates.

September visits May, as the NFL released its 2021 expanded schedule, prompting raised antennas in New Jersey online sports betting circles.

There is one additional game this year, actual Week 1 spreads for New Jersey online sports bettors paired with some early intrigue.

The NFL regular season begins Sept. 9, with the Dallas Cowboys visiting the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers as a 6.5-point dog. And then it’s season on.

The Philadelphia Eagles are more than a field-goal underdog at the host Atlanta Falcons on Sept. 12. The Jalen Hurts-DeVonta Smith connection begins.

The New York Giants host the Denver Broncos as a small favorite.  Wouldn’t it be something if Aaron Rodgers was a Bronco? Watch that line move.

The New York Jets visit the Carolina Panthers as a solid dog. Nah, too good to be true. Sam Darnold was the Jets’ future two years ago. Now at 23, he’s their ex. And he’s facing his old team, as chalk.

How about season win totals, team futures, and wacky props?

Get those bets in fast. We’ve only got … four months.

In honor of seven points for a touchdown and extra point, here are seven wagering observations.

1. Key games for Philadelphia Eagles

In the opener, they oppose Philly native Kyle Pitts, a game-changing tight end drafted by the Falcons.

For their home opener on Sept. 19, will Trey Lance be leading the Niners? Lance versus Hurts and Smith is a matchup of young guns.

The first meeting against the Cowboys in Dallas on Sept. 27 is on Monday Night Football.

The October 24 game in Las Vegas is an excuse for a trip.

The Eagles don’t play the Giants until late in the season, at New York Nov. 28 and home Dec. 26.

The extra game this year? At the Jets Dec. 5. That’s one edge for finishing in the basement. Division champion Washington gets the Buffalo Bills.

The Birds bye week is Week 14. The home finale against the Cowboys is Jan. 9.

2. Decisive December for the Birds

Starting in December, the Birds play the Jets and then four division rivals to finish the campaign:

  • Washington, home, TBD
  • Giants, home, Dec. 26
  • Washington, away, Jan. 2
  • Cowboys, home, Jan. 9

What about NFC East betting odds?

DraftKings Sportsbook has the Cowboys +125 to win the division.

Washington, the defending champion, is +260

The Giants are +350 while the Eagles are +500.

The odds already moved with money on the Cowboys and Giants and will be fun to play throughout the season.

The Giants went from +2000 after an 0-5 start to +200 when they led the division. This is the biggest sudden-opportunity team bet on the board throughout the year.

Every game impacts the total. You can make several bets on it at different times.

3. Start handicapping the NFC East

Doesn’t matter if it’s the NFC Least, which produced a 7-9 winner with the Washington Football Team.  Or if it was the NFC Beast in a strong year.

One of these teams will host a playoff game. Washington had the home field against the eventual champion Bucs last year.

What record will host this year’s playoff game?

DraftKings has the Eagles’ over-under at 6.5 games. A small rise expected from the 4-11-1 campaign. The over is -155.

Washington has an over-under of 8, still a losing record, with the over at -134.

The Giants are at 7 with the over at -130.

Only one team is projected for a winning season. The Cowboys are at 9.5 but with a heavily favored under, -130.  Count on the Cowboys being overbet, propping up odds of other teams.

“Look at the NFC East, what an extra week might have meant last year, the way it all came down to the wire,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told NJ Gambling Sites.

Avello linked Dallas’ favored status in the NFC East to the return of quarterback Dak Prescott, who was injured most of last year.

“They would look to be the team at the start,” he said. “Washington certainly played better last year and Chase Young helped them defensively.

“The Giants are going to get Saquon Barkley back, that’s going to be a big boost to them.

“The Eagles? With Jalen Hurts as their starting quarterback, it’s hard to predict what’s going to happen with them.”

4. 2021 NFL schedule includes bonus week

Seventeen games means one less preseason week, one more real week, and the Super Bowl on Feb. 13.

Bettors and books rejoice.

“There’s going to be a significant impact on the betting,” Avello said.

“During the exhibition season, we have lower limits. During the regular season, you’ll see players wagering six figures a game. There wasn’t even a preseason last year anyway. There’s no comparison about what that means for the handle.

“This extra week, I think, will make everybody happy.”

Even ecstatic.

5. Wanna go AGAINST the Eagles or Jets?

It’s like playing the Don’t Come line at craps. Here’s a worst-season record prop at FanDuel Sportsbook:

  • Houston Texans +250
  • Detroit Lions +350
  • New York Jets +850
  • Cincinnati Bengals +1000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +1200
  • Philadelphia Eagles +1300

This is when losing big means winning.

6. Will any NFL team go 0-17 or 17-0?

BetMGM posted the first bet for a team to go 0-17 under the new schedule. Yes is +1400.

On the flip side, the odds for a team to go 17-0 is +1800.

7. The power of the NFL No 1 pick

The Jacksonville Jaguars won one game last year. They ride a 15-game losing streak.

In Week 1, They visit the Houston Texans, who were in the AFC semifinals two years ago.

And they are favored.

It means Trevor Lawrence has an immediate impact and that Deshaun Watson is expected to move.

“The game we had the most discussion setting the line for was Jaguars-Texans,” said Adam Pullen, assistant director of trading for William Hill.  “We don’t know whether Deshaun Watson is going to be the quarterback. For now, he’s the guy until news breaks that says otherwise. I’d say that one was the most difficult [Week 1 spread].”

AP Photo/Chris Szagola

 

 

What Are The Odds Of Eagles’ DeVonta Smith Winning NFL Offensive Rookie Of The Year?

With the NFL Draft out of the way, rookies DeVonta Smith, Zach Wilson, and Kadarius Toney have enticing 2021 props at NJ online sportsbooks.

The NFL Draft is already invigorating the NFL betting prop season.

The Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, and New York Jets each have an interesting betting consideration from their top selections.

Their first-round picks, DeVonta Smith for the Eagles, Zach Wilson for the Jets, and Kadarius Toney for the Giants,  all enticed season-long prop bets.

Besides their longshot odds to win offensive rookie of the year, all three players are generating realistic props on yardage totals and touchdowns.

It’s no longer just each player against the field, but each against his projected total.

Let’s analyze each pick.

Heisman winner Smith has high NFL expectations

BetMGM pegs the speedy Heisman Trophy-winning receiver at 749.5 receiving yards. The over and under are both -110. Fair shot, a straight play.

The book also has over-under touchdown totals at 5.5. It leans under the total at -125 and over at +105, playable from either side.

It’s good to see those props because winning the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is an uphill battle for a wide receiver. High-profile quarterbacks gain more categories to impress awards committees beyond yardage and touchdowns. Quarterback rating, completion percentage, and fourth-quarter comebacks also factor into the equation.

Quarterback Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers ran away with this award in 2020, notching 41 votes.  Second-highest was Minnesota Vikings’ wideout Justin Jefferson, who had 1,400 yards, with nine votes.

Breaking down NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

Wondering who to play this time around? Here is the opening offensive top rookie betting board.

DraftKings Sportsbook has Trevor Lawrence, the top overall pick of the Jacksonville Jaguars, as the +300 favorite.

Here are some other names to watch:

  • Justin Fields, Chicago Bears QB, +600
  • Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers QB, +600
  • Zack Wilson, New York Jets QB, +700
  • Najee Harris, Pittsburgh Steelers, +1000
  • Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals WR, +1100

There was some early May movement on Smith, up to +1400 from +1600.

 Jaylen Waddle, his Alabama teammate, is +1600. He is now a wide receiver for the Miami Dolphins.

William Hill has Smith at +1800 and reported that the fastest-rising ticket recipient is actually Harris, who was the Steelers first-round pick. Harris has gone from +2000 to +1000 and taken a third of the tickets.

“Looks like the early money is for Najee Harris,” said Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US. “There’s twice as many tickets on him compared to anyone else early on. [James] Conner is no longer in Pittsburgh, so looks like it’s going to be Harris’ show there. He’s going to get plenty of opportunities, so I can see why they’re betting Harris.”

FanDuel Sportsbook has +1700 for Smith and Waddle.

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Will DeVonta Smith click with the Eagles offense?

 Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for Draft Kings, believes Smith will hit stride quickly, regardless of his betting odds.

“Some guys get to the NFL right away and look ready to go; DeVonta Smith looks like one of those guys,” Avello told NJ Gambling Sites. “He’s a high confidence player and it looks like Jalen Hurts is where all their eggs are going at quarterback, although that’s a little surprising to me.

“Smith is a little guy and he’s fast. Cornerbacks will tell you that receivers like this are going to be really tough to cover. Going across the middle, however, could be a problem.”

This is a good time to savor just how good Smith is. He is only the fourth receiver to win the Heisman.

The previous recipients are:

  • Michigan’s Desmond Howard in 1991
  • Notre Dame’s Tim Brown in 1987
  • Nebraska’s Johnny Rodgers in 1972.

Avello initially thought Smith would get drafted either at No. 11 or 12, and he wasn’t surprised that the Eagles, who had the 12th pick, vaulted the New York Giants at number 11 to get him. That also had a ripple effect throughout the draft.

Modest forecast for Wilson as Jets new QB

Wilson’s individual prop numbers convey caution

As PointsBet, he has an over-under of 22.5 passing touchdowns, a low number for the 17-game season. The under is -125, the over -105.

His yardage is over-under 3,800 at -115 on both sides.

How to compare?

Herbert, the top rookie last season, had a terrific opening season for the Los Angeles Chargers. He threw for 4,336 yards and 31 touchdowns, despite not being the opening-day starter.

Expectations are low for Wilson’s touchdown total, too.  It projects the Jets being patient with him, letting Wilson grow into the job and not have the same meteoric pressure that accompanied Sam Darnold, who is now with the Carolina Panthers.

But this being New York, hype is in the genes.

Bet MGM pegs Wilson’s yardage total at 3,874.5 with the over and under at -110.

It lists him for 20.5 touchdowns with the over -125 and under +105.

Here’s a great shopping opportunity. Go with BetMGM if you like the over and PointsBet for the under regarding touchdown totals.

 Giants rookie WR Toney has no pressure

BetMGM projects Toney with an over-under of 524.5 yards for the season. It’s -110 on either side.

Toney has an over-under of 3.5 touchdowns with the over -130 and the under +110.

This is an interesting prop. The Giants should have playmaker Saquon Barkley back from injury and will build its offense around him. The G-Men picked up Kenny Golladay from the Detroit Lions, a sharp move,  and they already have Darius Slayton, a breakaway threat.

Toney, who represents excellent value at No. 20, fills out a new-look Giants offense that looks capable of spreading the field. There won’t be much early pressure on Toney, but he may grow into the job.

Nick Foles: Birds bettors still see him in green

Of course, Nick Foles, the former Eagle and the MVP of the franchise’s lone Super Bowl championship, caught the effect of the Smith draft-night move. It caused the Giants to move down from 11 to 20 and the Bears to move up to 11 and draft Fields.

Uh-Oh, that’s one crowded area behind center and the subject of a DraftKings prop.

Who will be the Bears’ opening day quarterback?

Fields joins Foles and Andy Dalton, who was acquired in the off-season by the Bears.

Foles is the +900 longshot. Dalton, who moved over from the Dallas Cowboys is -167. But Fields enters the field as the +160, signaling an intense training camp.

The numbers say Dalton had the job and Foles would be the backup. A quarterback controversy involves two players. Now it’s three

Maybe the real prop is who gets disgruntled first, or whether all three will start a game next year.  Either way, it’s interesting.

The situation further underscores how Eagles GM Howie Roseman became the maestro of the draft.

With the 2021 NFL regular season still several months away, there is plenty of time to ponder the odds.

AP Photo/Jeff Haynes

NFL Draft Betting Season Is On The Clock

The first round of the 2021 NFL Draft is taking place in Cleveland and there are several ways NJ online sports bettors can place wagers.

Why wait to bet late on the 2021 NFL Draft taking place this week?

New Jersey online sports bettors may spread some bread earlier in the draft than where their favorite teams select players.

And the countdown to the April 29 event has now reached its final hours, and with the Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, and New York Jets not relevant from an early betting standpoint, Garden State gamblers may gamble deep into the first round.

It makes sense.

How does one bet on the Eagles picking at No. 12, the Giants at No. 11, and the Jets not yielding a real first-round wager? Their selection of quarterback Zach Wilson as the second pick is a foregone conclusion at major sportsbooks.

You already know the late-round scenario: after quarterbacks vanish early, the Eagles, Giants, and Dallas Cowboys, who own the 10th pick, will jockey for people like Patrick Surtain II, Micah Parsons, Rashawn Slater, or Christian Darrisaw.

Maybe celebrated receivers DeVonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle fall this far. Maybe they don’t.

That’s the general overview.

From an NJ sports betting perspective, an updated look at the shifting DraftKings betting board may reveal an early and late-rounds betting strategy. That approach keeps the whole round interesting, and NJ online sportsbooks like DraftKings are putting more plays into the betting “offense” every day.

So now that we are days away from when the first pick is announced, there is an important question to ponder:

How will you wager on $100 on the 2021 NFL Draft?

Betting on who Jets take No. 2 overall will equal pocket change

Facetious, but how would Jets backers like to make $2?

Pop the whole hundred on Wilson of BYU to become a Jet and that’s the amount you can make.

Wilson is -50000 or 500-1 to be the second player taken according to Draft Kings, the biggest no-brainer besides the Jacksonville Jaguars taking Clemson quarterback Trevor Lawrence (-10000) at No. 1.

Take Wilson and pocket an early edge, if that can be said with a straight face.

Will top-three NFL Draft picks all be QBs?

Picks three through five will be where the money swirls. This is where it becomes gambling.

The San Francisco 49ers traded up to No. 3 with the Miami Dolphins. Conventional wisdom suggests they will select a quarterback.

Just two years after Jimmy Garoppolo was their Super Bowl quarterback, the Niners may look to replace him.

Mac Jones from Alabama fits the drop-back style the Niners like. The team’s run-first style will take the pressure off a rookie QB.

Here are some of the Monday morning favorites on DraftKings board as to who the Niners will take at No. 3:

  • Jones -225
  • Trey Lance  +175
  • Justin Fields +550
  • Kyle Pitts +3300

So besides Jones, Lance (North Dakota State) and Fields (Ohio State) are both QBs. Pitts is the talented tight end out of Florida.

The board says quarterback, no doubt about it. But which one?

There is no money in Jones. However, other NFL Draft prognosticators see Lance going third overall. If you agree, that’s a worthwhile pop, and best made before public attention drives odds down.

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Atlanta Falcons are on the clock

The Atlanta Falcons own the fourth pick, and this is where the real NFL Draft betting debate begins. It will require serious handicapping for the bettors.

Will the Falcons take a young quarterback or stick with veteran Matt Ryan?

If they go quarterback, Fields or Lance could still be there. Neither is better than Ryan now. But are the Falcons rebuilding?

This brings the first non-quarterback bet into play.

DraftKings nation has Pitts at +125 and taking 63% of the handle. He’s shot up several places in recent pre-draft thinking.

Penei Sewell of Oregon is about where he’s always been.  He’s +250, taking 20% of the handle.

A cross-reference of the DraftKings board provides another clue.  Pitts is -150 to go in the Top 5. Others in this category are:

  • LSU WR Ja’Marr Chase, -125
  • Sewell, +110
  • Lance, -167

The board suggests Pitts could go fourth, especially if one believes that the Cincinnati Bengals, picking fifth, won’t take a tight end.  The best value for Pitts, then, would be in the first non-quarterback category.

Bengals mostly likely going offensive line

Jets’ bettors, are you parlaying that $2 from Wilson?

The Bengals’ choice reflects the draft’s pragmatic seduction of NFL executives.

Sewell, a highly-acclaimed offensive lineman from Oregon, logically fits the Bengals. Their failure to protect quarterback Joe Burrow with a good line led to him missing the last six games of 2020.

Take Sewell, right?

But what if an explosive wide receiver like Chase of LSU, +220 at DraftKings for the first non-quarterback, is available?

This decision resembles placing a state-of-the-art heater in your home or buying a shiny new luxury car for your driveway. Nobody raves about infrastructure.

Sewell makes sense for Cincy, but making sense won’t make headlines.

You’re spending the fifth pick on a lineman? Really?

The DraftKings board underscores this debate. It shows the Bengals would make a stark decision between what they need and what they may want.

Sewell, Pitts, and Chase, priced relatively in the same even-money neighborhood for Top 4, present an interesting decision.

Giants’ bettors remember this scene.

The G-Men picked offensive lineman Andrew Thomas as the fourth pick in 2020. His performance was decent, but not worthy of that billing.

Picks 4 and 5 are the fulcrum of this draft regarding late rounds. Any surprises up top will impact who falls to the Cowboys, Giants, and Eagles.

Pulling the NFL Draft wagering trigger

The Dolphins may want a receiver to complement quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Florida’s Pitts would be sensible, but the board suggests he won’t last until they pick.

The Detroit Lions, Carolina Panthers, and Denver Broncos follow. Hard to assess their needs.

And then comes the NFC East, boom, boom, boom with 10-12.

That is if the Cowboys, Giants, and Eagles bypass the trade scenario.

Save some for the end

Here’s one bet tailored toward the Giants and Eagles by DraftKings.

Who goes first, DeVonta Smith or Jaylen Waddle, both of Alabama?

Waddle is -137 and Smith +110, that’s an interesting twist. Smith is the Heisman Trophy winner. Isn’t he the goods? Maybe so, but right now he’s the underdog in this individual matchup.

Here’s another:

How many Alabama players will be taken in the first round? The over-under is 5.5 with the over at -200 and the under at +155 at DraftKings.

The board says that Jones, Waddle, Smith, and Surtain II are first-round locks. Najee Harris, who obtained significant 2021 media attention, is likely. That means center Landon Dickerson will likely decide the prop.

Some bets may not be visible at certain times as the book updates the lineup. Keep checking back.

AP Photo/Andy Clayton-King

 

 

 

Will The New York Jets Finally Find Their Franchise QB In The 2021 NFL Draft?

The NY Jets are odds-on favorites to take QB Zach Wilson with the No. 2 pick in the NFL Draft, but longshots to win in 2021.

Everything you need to know about the success of New York Jets quarterbacks is this: Mark Sanchez holds the franchise record for playoff wins (4).

The Jets have spent most of the team’s 60-year history in search of a star quarterback. Count 2021 as another season with the same goal.

The NY Jets threw in the towel on QB Sam Darnold after just three seasons, trading him to the Carolina Panthers for three draft picks.

Gang Green is likely to take a quarterback with the No. 2 overall pick in this year’s NFL Draft. Most experts believe the Jets will select QB Zach Wilson on April 29.

Looking at the New York Jets 2021 Draft

The Jets have 10 picks in the 2021 NFL Draft. Five of those picks are in the first three rounds.

Taking Wilson with the No. 2 pick is almost a lock, at this point. NJ online sportsbooks have Wilson going to New York (assuming the Jets stay at No. 2). FOX Bet and BetMGM posted odds Wilson is drafted by the NY Jets at -2500.

The Jets also control the 23rd overall pick in the first round.
DraftKings is offering +120 odds that an offensive player will be taken with the Jets’ second pick and -150 for a defensive player.

Selecting a cornerback with that pick has the shortest odds at DraftKings (+225). Here are DraftKings odds for other positions the Jets could select with the 23rd pick:

  • Running back +350
  • Offensive lineman +400
  • Defensive lineman +500
  • Linebacker +600
  • Wide receiver +800

New season, same ‘ol Jets?

Whoever is under center for the Jets this season will be the 11th different starting QB since 2013.

The NY Jets will also have a new head coach in 2021. Robert Saleh is the team’s fourth HC in the last seven seasons.

It is going to be another tough year for New York. The Jets have not posted a winning record since 2015.

New Jersey sportsbooks have the Jets’ odds of winning Super Bowl 56 at +8000. For comparison purposes, the New York Giants are +6600 at DraftKings while the Philadelphia Eagles are +7000.

And the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have the No. 1 pick in the NFL Draft, are +7000.

DraftKings Sportsbook listed the over/under for total NY Jets wins this year at 6.5. The over is +123 while the under is -150.

Even making the postseason is a long shot for New York. BetMGM has the odds of the Jets missing the 2021 NFL Playoffs listed at -650.

So will taking a gamble on another rookie QB help the Jets turn things around?  Based on the current odds, it seems New York Jets fans still have a long wait ahead.

AP/Rick Bowmer

Almost On The Clock: Philadelphia Eagles Will Use This Month’s NFL Draft To Address Many Needs

Here is a closer look at this year’s NFL Draft betting picture, including what the Philadelphia Eagles may do with the 12th overall pick. 

Psst. The NFL Draft is rapidly approaching. The first round is April 29, against the backdrop of a sweeping, industry-wide bonus.

Wagering on the draft kicks off a new, expanded season for NJ online sports bettors. The NFL launches a 17-game campaign by removing a preseason week and stretching the Super Bowl hoopla into mid-February. The Big Game will be Feb. 13, making the NFL longer and the winter shorter.

NJ online sportsbooks win and so doo bettors. And it starts soon.

Amid this euphoria, bettors hone their handicapping focus for the April 29 “season opener.”

The three-day event is taking place in Cleveland from April 29-May 1.

Here is a close look at this year’s NFL Draft betting picture, including what the Philadelphia Eagles may do with the 12th overall pick.

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NFL Draft first-round betting

DraftKings Sportsbook numbers suggest the first round will yield at least five quarterback and wide-receiver selections, along with four or five cornerbacks.

But who? And when?

The Philadelphia Eagles have dropped from the sixth spot to No. 12, but what does it mean regarding their first-round selection.

“We’ve been taking money all along, but it’s going to get very serious as we head toward that final week leading up to the draft,” Johnny Avello, the race and sportsbook director for DraftKings told NJ Gambling Sites.

“That’s also when you are going to see those mock drafts tighten up. They can afford to be looser right now, but that will change.”

Philadelphia Eagles already making headlines

The Birds have been re-configured at 6.5 wins on the over-under at DraftKings in the 17-game format.  The over is favored at -134. These numbers suggest a slight uptick from the 4 -11-1 campaign over 16 games last year but project a non-playoff team.

The Eagles also engaged in the biggest swap blockbuster of the draft.  They moved to 12th after waging an administrative flea-flicker with the Miami Dolphins and the San Francisco 49ers.

The play began with San Francisco trading up from 12 to 3 with Miami, feeding the perception that Niners quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo has become unwelcome.

The deals profoundly impacted the overall third draft pick selection, making quarterbacks the focus.

Alabama quarterback Mac Jones suddenly shot to -200 as the first player to be taken with the third pick at DraftKings.  Justin Fields (Ohio State) at +250 and Trey Lance (North Dakota State) at +300 are viable, and well-priced.

These quarterbacks emerged on the board because the Dolphins, who had no intention of drafting one due to their commitment to Tua Tagovailoa, opened the door for a team that may want one.

Miami could fill other needs at a lower draft spot and collect more draft picks.  So, they did that with the 49ers deal and then used some excess picks to trade with the Eagles.

That’s where the big play came to involve the Birds.

Here’s the swap:

Analyzing the Eagles-Dolphins deal

The Dolphins remain in a position to draft a star receiver for Tagovailoa. That list includes LSU’s Ja’Marr Chase, Florida tight end Kyle Pitts, Alabama’s DeVonta Smith or Jaylen Waddle.

The Eagles moved down six spots in the first round, moved up 33 spots on Day 3, and picked up Miami’s first-round pick next year.

That could become the best part of the strategy.  Multiple first-round picks are an excellent way to build a team or gain leverage in pursuit of a star.

Getting a first-rounder next year becomes partial compensation for the Eagles failing to pry a first-round pick from the Indianapolis Colts in the recent Carson Wentz trade.

The move down, in exchange for picks, was an excellent one if the Eagles address a core need  — the offensive line.

Rashawn Slater of Northwestern, would plug a big hole at offensive guard or tackle with his 6-foot-4, 304-pound frame. You build a house with infrastructure, and you build an offense around good protection.

The Eagles surrendered the most sacks in the NFL last year, more than four per game, and Wentz threw the most interceptions.

Part of this decision could rest on whether the Eagles want Jalen Hurts to reduce his scrambling and perfect the pocket.

Christian Darrisaw of Virginia Tech is another strong consideration. One or both of these players is going to be available at No. 12.

I think this is the spot they should fill.

The 2020 Tampa Bay Bucs are the perfect example of how this is a great spot. They had the No. 13 pick last year  and selected Tristan Wirfs to protect Tom Brady. They won a Super Bowl and Wirfs played a part

Other NFL Draft prospects  who will be mentioned

Would Heisman Trophy-winning receiver DeVonta Smith fall this far?

There may be some reluctance for teams to grab Smith, who could be considered frail at 170 pounds. If you like the explosiveness angle, he could be reminiscent of a Tyreek Hill.

Jaycee Horn, a cornerback from South Carolina, would fill yet another hole in the defense.

New York Jets follow Eagles path

Just as the Eagles peddled Wentz, the Jets recently sent Sam Darnold, their first pick and third overall selection in 2018, to the Carolina Panthers for picks, picks, picks.

The move officially anointed the Zach Wilson era. The Jets will take him with the second selection.

Darnold yielded the Jets three picks: a sixth-rounder this year, and a second-rounder and fourth-rounder in 2022.

The Jets’ makeover included allowing Darnold’s backup Joe Flacco to sign with the Eagles as a backup to Hurts.

NFL Draft wagering nugget

It’s hard to find value with obvious picks. But a borderline consideration is Penei Sewell, the top offensive lineman who will be drafted.

DraftKings lists him at -143 for a Top 5 selection. Iffy on the odds, but he is practically cemented to No. 5 for the Cincinnati Bengals, who must protect their future, quarterback Joe Burrow. The top pick in last year’s draft played as advertised until being injured while sacked and he missed the last six games.

Some bettors will take the -150 and slam it. Others will shop for a better price. In either case, keep it on your radar.

AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast