How The Eagles, Giants, And Jets Props Look Heading Into NFL Training Camps

As teams report to NFL training camps, here is a look at the Eagles, Giants, and Jets, all likely to attract NJ spots betting attention.

Bring out the spreadsheet. Summon the hunches. NFL training camps opened this week, prompting NJ sports betting customers to seize some futures values and move the lines.

Here’s a brief look at the league-wide betting picture. We are putting a heavier focus on the Philadelphia Eagles, New York Giants, and New York Jets – New Jersey’s most heavily wagered-upon teams

Bet $1 Win $100 + Up to $1,050 Bonus
1
UP TO $1,050 FREE
New User Bonus. T&Cs Apply.
Olympics Special
Bet $1, Win $100 If U.S.A Wins a Medal
$50 Free Bet on Deposit
Up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
To Claim: Click Play Now

Eagles are a long shot in BetMGM totals

Kansas City, here they come.

The Chiefs are the Super Bowl favorites. BetMGM has the Andy Reid-coached team down to +450 from +600, despite being drubbed by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last February.

The Bucs also made a strong move, from +1200 to +700.

The Cleveland Browns jumped from +2500 to +1400.

These three teams earned the bulk of the early money. The Eagles garnered less than 1% of the handle, but one bettor put $4,000 on them to win $500,000 at + 12500 (125-1).

How deep is that wagering hoist?

It’s Ron Jaworski to Mike Quick deep, for NJ gamblers recalling that 99-yard scoring strike, longest in Eagles history. Of if you prefer, Randall Cunningham to Fred Barnett, 95 yards and a truly deep throw.

It’s a long shot, but a wager like this hits every year, at some book.

Long odds as NFL training camps open

DraftKings Sportsbook, meanwhile, reflects the notion that Rodney Dangerfield got more respect than the Eagles, Giants, and Jets. Combined, the teams are +33000 (330-1):

  • Jets at +15000
  • Eagles at +10000
  • Giants representing the “chalk” of this group at + 8000 (80-1)

But money can be made on all three teams. Let’s examine them through the lens of a significant prop that could impact their chances.

DraftKings capsule on the Eagles

The Eagles’ odds to win the NFC East are +550 (currently trailing their other three division rivals).

Win total over-under of 6.5.  Over is -130, Under is +110

Remember, this team finished 4-11-1 last season.

What are the Birds’ chances of doing a dramatic 360, as in making the playoffs?

Yes  is+275, No is-350

The key props involve Heisman trophy winner DeVonta Smith, their top draft pick, and Jalen Hurts, set to open at quarterback.

Smith is considered an immediate impact player.

DraftKings has the yardage prop at 777 yards, with the over and under both at -115.

Based on last year’s numbers, Smith would lead the Eagles with this total.  Travis Fulgham had the most, 539 last season. That projects to 572 over the full season. Fulgham was a head-scratcher, going from stud to dud throughout the campaign.

Will Smith step up?

Smith would need 45.1 yards a game to reach this prop. Reasonable.

Some success will be determined by Hurts, who has a low prop bar. This could inspire serious thoughts of betting the over on his season totals.

The DraftKings prop has Hurts at 3,650 yards. That’s below Zach Wilson’s 3,800.5 yards, and Wilson hasn’t even played a down for the Jets.

Hurts is a scrambler, which could reduce his passing total. But he also had two 300-yard plus games for the Eagles last year. The sample size of four games is small, although he produced 896 yards, good for 224 per game and one was in January.

Project that total onto 17 games and he comes out at 3,808. You’ve got some desirable weather in September and October to consider.

But if we break the prop down by NFL weeks, Hurts would only need 215 yards per game to clear this over. So this looks reachable.

He’s also slated for 20.5 over-under for passing touchdowns. His rushing scores could diminish this total, but it’s still less than two per game.

If Hurts and Smith both hit their “overs.” it could enable the Eagles to surpass their modest expectations

A closer look at the New York Giants odds

DraftKings has the Giants’ odds of winning the NFC East at +450 (third behind Dallas and Washington).

New York is coming off a 6-10 season.

Their win total over-under is 7. Over is -130, under is +110

William Hill sportsbook has boosted the Giants from +250 to make the playoffs to +300. Do you believe a second-place team in this division can make the postseason?

It may take 10 wins. But if you think the G-Men have 10 in them, this bet has been boosted.

This could be the year of decision regarding quarterback Daniel Jones and star running back Saquon Barkley.

Jones has a low-bar prop of 3,800.5 yards and 24 touchdowns.

Can “Danny Dimes” rise beyond the stature of wooden nickels for the Giants? The prop requirement, 223  passing yards per game, is not steep. But there’s no perceived edge.

Jones averaged 210 yards per game in 2020 and 232 in 2019.

This projection is part crap-shoot, part anticipation of improvement. Jones has a good arm for a deep ball and has nice new receivers in Kenny Golladay, Kelvin Benjamin, and Kyle Rudolph. If he stops holding the ball too long and spreads the ball well, he hits the over.

A major success factor lies in the next piece of the puzzle: Saquon Barkley.

Glass half-full perspective on Barkley

Barkley returns after missing the last 15 games last season. After Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys (+210), he’s   +700 at DraftKings for Comeback Player of the Year along with Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals.

Remember Barkley’s 2,028 passing and receiving yards in 2018 and 1,441 in 2019? He was sorely missed.

The Giants were 6-10 without him last year and almost made the postseason. He could get them over the top.

Glass half-empty perspective on Barkley

He’s back but inspires only mild confidence.

Barkley suffered a torn ACL on a seemingly routine running play against the Chicago Bears in Week 2. He was wrestled out of bounds. That’s it, and was lost for the season.

It wasn’t a crunching hit.

He’s valuable but vulnerable. Maybe even brittle. Barkley is being coy on returning for Week 1. You also can’t trust him with an individual yardage prop, because his total is divided among passing and rushing.

It may be best to incorporate him into team expectations rather than bet as an individual play.

Jets outlook from DraftKings

The New York Jets are facing the biggest uphill battle as their AFC East division odds  are+2500.

The win total over-under is 6. Under is -120, Over is +100

This franchise is looking to turn things around from last season’s 2-14 mark

The Jets odds of not making the NFL Playoffs is -800. Yes is +550.

Zach Wilson factor heading into first NFL training camp

So how much will the Zach Wilson attack come into play?

Well, heading into his first NFL training camp, Wilson’s team resembles the Eagles.

Trading Sam Darnold to the Carolina Panthers mirrors the Birds dispatching Carson Wentz to the Indianapolis Colts. Replacing Darnold, who the Jets No. 3 overall in the 2018 NFL Draft, with Wilson resembles the Birds turning to Hurts, a second-round pick in 2020.

Can Wilson get you 223 yards per game to reach the 3,800.5 yards and the over? (Both sides are -115).

The Jets took a lineman, Alijah Vera-Tucker, and receiver, Elijah Moore, to help him.

The Jets took offensive players with the first three picks for the first time since 2009.

If nothing else, the J-E-T-S are going to be aggressive.

AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh

 

 

Get Ready To Hit The Open Golf Betting Tees With Early Morning Start From Royal St. George Course

The Open, the last of the four PGA majors, unfolds Thursday-Sunday in England and New Jersey gamblers will find an extensive props menu.

Don’t blink, New Jersey online golf bettors. Here comes the Open Championship, formerly known as the British Open, at an unusual time.

The last of the four annual PGA Tour Majors unfolds Thursday-Sunday from Royal St. George’s course in England, creating viewing and betting time differences.

Here’s how to watch The Open

The NJ golf betting customers may want to consider adjusting the wake-up time on the alarm clock as coverage starts at 4 a.m. on the Golf Channel.

Once again, The Open is being split between sister networks NBC and the
Golf Channel. Here is a closer look at how and when to watch live each day:

Thursday, July 15: 4 a.m-3 p.m. ET (Golf Channel)
Friday, July 16: 4 a.m-3 p.m. ET (Golf Channel)
Saturday, July 17: 5-7 a.m. ET (Golf Channel); 7 a.m.-3 p.m. ET (NBC)
Sunday, July 18: 4-7 a.m. ET (Golf Channel); 7 a.m.-2 p.m. ET (NBC)

The new times can become a boon for early-bird bettors or gamblers with insomnia.

The tournament will entice both Garden State bettors who make pre-tournament wagers and others who place bets throughout the four-day event.

Many gamblers wager into both areas. The beauty of PGA betting is that gamblers can find an abundant lineup, even if they miss the initial action.

Tough Royal St. George course impacts prop strategy

Weekend betting warriors can eye the birdie and bogey possibilities on the “next” hole bets all weekend.

Most holes for the pros end in par, but the winning score in this event at this layout 10 years ago was 5-under-par by Darren Clarke of Northern Ireland. Phil Mickelson and Dustin Johnson were second at -2. One other player was -1.

The rest of the field, more than 100 players, did not break par. That means bogeys could be paramount this weekend.

Don’t be afraid to bet “bogey” on a number of these holes.

Some top candidates:

The third hole, a long, difficult par-3, plays 239 yards and had a scoring average above 3 in the 2011 Open.

The fourth hole is a tough par 4 at 491 yards. It usually averages above 4 strokes.

The 15th, a 496-yard par 4, has bunkers in play along the right side and in front of the green. It is considered the hardest hole on the course.

There’s a real good birdie opportunity too.

The seventh is a big birdie hole. It is a par-5, 566-yard layout most of the pros will reach the green in two. Mickelson delivered an eagle on this hole 10 years ago. Betting a golfer to make at least a birdie is a worthwhile consideration.

It’s good to watch how certain players fare on the potential birdie and bogey holes.  It will give gamblers some data to wager into in the final two rounds.

Intrigue may follow the seventh, for example. A par will feel like a bogey on that hole. A player might be deflated by under-achieving on a potential scoring hole and that could carry over.

Pre-tournament wagers for The Open

The early DraftKings Sportsbook board has Jon Rahm is favored at +700. He’s +180 for the Top 5 and -120 for the Top 10. He should play well but doesn’t have great value.

Jordan Spieth is +1400 to win, +270 for Top 5, and +135 for Top 10.

Brooks Koepka is +1600 to win, +350 for Top 5, +160 for Top 10.

Rory McIlroy, the Irishman, may be comfortable in this type of setting. McIlroy is +1800 to win, +350 for Top 5, and +160 for Top 10.

So is Dustin Johnson.

European golfers will merit a closer look in this tournament. Will this be when Tyrrell Hatton of England, +3500 to win, +550 for Top 5, and +300 for Top 10, comes alive?

The Open could offer longshot values and sleepers

Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, said he loves this tournament because it offers something different.

“When you think about the courses in England, and this one in particular, these guys are not going to be able to just hit it and spin the ball onto the green,” Avello told NJ Gambling Sites. “There will be a lot more hitting the ball to land in  front of the green and  letting it run up.”

The old-school bump-and-run style rewards shot-making from around the green. It may also impact putting. If the course takes rain, the greens will become slower.  Some players like that because it enables a firm putting stroke, making the shot more about the stroke rather than the break.

“Some guys may be attuned to this, like McIlroy,” Avello says. “One thing you have to love, though, is the talent of the field. A lot of these players will have the ability to adjust to the conditions.”

Avello always touts longshot values and prefers to look well down the board to find sleepers.  Rahm is a short price for this level of competition.

“But nobody was ever shorter than Tiger Woods,” he laughed about the golf legend. “You see well over 100 players and here he is 7-5. And then he’d go out and win the tournament!”

Avello said that although the start time could impact business on the East Coast, DraftKings would have its best Open handle ever.

William Hill and the Rory McIlroy story

Odds at William Hill are similar to DraftKings, in most respects.

But McIlroy shoppers can find some value before the tournament. He is +188 for the Top 10 compared to +160 at DraftKings. That may not look like much, but it’s a difference of $28 for a $100 wager.

Here’s a fun, interesting, yet difficult prop, the margin of victory.

A one-stroke difference is +250

A two-stroke edge is +350

A three-shot margin? It’s +450

A win of four shots or higher is +333

Playoff is +300

This is a great side ticket, especially if one’s favorite golfer fails to contend.

Here’s a little history: the last Open at this site produced a three-stroke margin.

BetMGM has a creative Open menu, too

BetMGM is offering value for McIlroy shoppers at + 220 for a Top-10 finish.

Other wagers include top lefties, golfers by nationalities, and a four-pack: Spieth, Xander Schauffele, Rahm, and Koepka to make the cut. It’s -110.

A hole-in-one by any golfer in the first round is +400.

Keep checking the boards. Some wagers are taken off for newer ones and reappear later.

AP Photo/Peter Morrison

 

Jacob deGrom Making A Case As Betting Favorite To Win NL MVP And Cy Young Awards

Jacob deGrom, the two-time National League Cy Young winner is generating a lot of NL MVP betting buzz at NJ online sportsbooks.

Jacob deGrom looked like the newly-minted National League MVP frontrunner at DraftKings, William Hill, and FanDuel sportsbooks Wednesday night.

However, will it be sweet but unfortunately short?

First, he was an electrifying machine. And then he looked human.

The two-time Cy Young winner from the New York Mets abruptly departed Wednesday’s game with shoulder soreness. It halted more than his budding three-inning masterpiece against the Chicago Cubs.  It may hurt many futures bets for New Jersey online bettors, who have jumped on the most dominant pitcher in the game.

Odds on deGrom to win the MVP had dipped to as low as +170 at William Hill just before game time. Money will likely pour in on players like Fernando Tatis Jr and Ronald Acuna Jr. soon.

Of course, there is the unknown regarding deGrom, who is scheduled for an MRI today. However, deGrom told reporters on Wednesday “I’m pretty confident that this is nothing.”

What kind of impact this news has in and outside of the NJ sports betting world is to be determined.

Bet $1 Win $100 + Up to $1,050 Bonus
1
UP TO $1,050 FREE
New User Bonus. T&Cs Apply.
Olympics Special
Bet $1, Win $100 If U.S.A Wins a Medal
$50 Free Bet on Deposit
Up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
To Claim: Click Play Now

Jacob deGrom has MVP numbers through 11 starts

The Mets ace hurler entered with an all-time best seasonal WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) of 0.53 and somehow lowered it. deGrom didn’t give up a baserunner, even drove in a run, and left with a 3-0 lead through three innings.

Out of the nine batters he faced, eight of them struck out. Nobody reached base. And then de Grom was gone.

The Mets’ ace lasted long enough to ensure some wagering victories on this game at least.

The 59% of DraftKings bettors who laid out a juiced -315 moneyline on the Mets, managed to collect. So did the 81% who took the -1.5-run line in the Mets’ 6-3 home victory.

Bettors and the public hope deGrom overcome the injury because his unpredictable health is more than a setback to bettors. It’s a blow to the game.

Besides his unheard-of mound numbers, deGrom is hitting .423. He’s given up four earned runs this season. And knocked in six.

He’s an excitement magnet.

The coast-to-coast showcase

deGrom’s ironic combination – brilliance and vulnerability – altered Wednesday’s imminent display of baseball royalty.

Because into this night walked deGrom and Clayton Kershaw, the two MLB active career leaders in WHIP.  Into this night strode the last pitcher to win an MVP, Kershaw with the Dodgers in 2014, and deGrom, the leader for this year.

Kershaw later pitched against the Phillies in Los Angeles and looked more hittable than deGrom but the night nonetheless showcased both of them. Kershaw pitched six innings, yielding two runs in a game the Phillies won 2-0.

How dominant have these pitchers been?

Let’s look.

WHIP is arguably the acid test of an excellent pitcher, measuring baserunners per nine innings. This reveals more than ERA, which can be impacted by how many inherited runners score and where one pitches. But WHIP incorporates walks and is ballpark neutral.

deGrom started the night with a 1.0205 career mark, fourth in major-league history. Kershaw stood at 1.0023, third, in a mark that spans more than 2,400 innings across 13-plus seasons.

New York Yankees relieving great Mariano Rivera was second at 1.0003. (Hall-of-Famer Addie Joss, who pitched from 1902-1910 for the Cleveland Bronchos, is first with 0.9678.)

The depth of excellence

deGrom has thrown 67 innings and notched a whopping 111 strikeouts this season. His strikeout-to-walk ratio, in which three would be strong, is almost 14.1.

He is on pace for shattering the single-season MLB WHIP record of 0.73, set by Pedro Martinez of the Boston Red Sox in 2000.

Bettors who have cashed in on deGrom’s starts and the “under” when he’s pitched have long been familiar with his excellence. Prices on deGrom are short, but he’s been money in the bank to have a lead after five innings and some bettors just lay the juice, as they did Wednesday.

His WHIP for the last three years? Try 0.91, 0.97, and 0.95.

deGrom can sue the Mets for support if he wants. Despite winning Cy Young Awards in 2018 and 2019, his record for those two years was 21-17. The Mets have not been scoring for him.

The WHIP pace may not be sustainable, but how close can deGrom come to sweeping the Cy Young and MVP honors, without injury?

Jacob deGrom ‘really has a chance’

“I think deGrom really does have a chance to win both the Cy Young and the MVP award,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told NJ Gambling Sites before deGrom’s outing potentially changed the landscape.  “The MVP award is standing right there. If the season ended now, he gets them both. We’re not halfway through the season yet and there’s a long way to go, but he’s having some season.”

Earlier in his career, Kershaw had mind-boggling numbers too.

He won the MVP in 2014 with a 21-3 record, 1.77 ERA, o.857 WHIP, and a no-hitter in the mix. It was the second season in a five-year string of sub 1.00 WHIP seasons, a span of nearly 1,000 innings.

Kershaw won both awards easily in the National League. Millville native Mike Trout captured the American League MVP honor that year.

A May injury to Trout opened up the 2021 AL MVP race.

Shohei Ohtani of the Los Angeles Angels and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. of the Toronto Blue Jays are the top pair. However, Avello believes Jose Abreu of the Chicago White Sox will draw money at attractive odds of +3300. So will other players.

“There is a long way to go and I think a few other names are going to get into this mix,” Avello said.

Jacob deGrom is ‘our largest liability’

FanDuel Sportsbook provided a Thursday morning update on deGrom. Besides being the favorite in the NL MVP market,  he is FanDuel’s “largest liability” in that market.

FanDuel said deGrom is “more than two times the liability of our next player.” That player would be Bryce Harper of the Philadelphia Phillies.

FanDuel noted they saw the most interest in deGrom when his odds were moved from +6000 to +5000.

In terms of NL MVP handle, deGrom, Acuna Jr., and  Tatis hold the top-three spots at FanDuel.

However, with bet count,  Acuna Jr. Harper, and Tatis are leading the way.

Recent sweeps of the Cy Young and MVP awards

In 2011, Justin Verlander notched 250 strikeouts, a 24-5 record, and a sterling WHIP of 0.92 for the Detroit Tigers.

In 1992, Dennis Eckersley gained an unlikely sweep with the Oakland A’s. The “Eck” recorded 51 saves, easily winning the Cy Young portion and nipping Kirby Puckett for the MVP

In 1986,  Roger Clemens fashioned a 24-4 mark with an ERA of 2.48 for the Boston Red Sox. He gained season-long visibility after notching 20 strikeouts in one early-season game and led them to the pennant.

But will deGrom be adding his name to this impressive list? It all depends on how many games, if any, he misses.

Based on the current odds at NJ online sportsbooks, deGrom will continue being a big part of the 2021 MLB betting conversation.

AP Photo/David Zalubowski

 

U.S. Open Betting Returns To Father’s Day Weekend Spotlight At NJ Sportsbooks

The U.S. Open presents another major opportunity for Garden State bettors looking to back Jon Rahm, Phil Mickelson, or other big names.

NJ online sports bettors are ready to tee off as the third major of the PGA season begins Thursday morning.  The 121st U.S. Open from Torrey Pines South in San Diego has a deep field with no clear-cut favorites.

Thus it creates a wealth of wagering options.

The $12.5 million U.S Open, running through Sunday, has a spread betting board chocked with big-name favorites, popular longshots, and well-priced contenders.

Jon Rahm, favored at all major sportsbooks, is not getting most of the betting money. And he has received less handle than San Diego native Phil Mickelson,  who was +7000 (as of Tuesday) at DraftKings Sportsbook after his May PGA Championship win.

Sentiment, recent history, and a deep field attract numerous wagering interests.

Closer Look at DraftKings US Open betting

Here are the top 10 money magnets of DraftKings gamblers. Odds and the amount bet on top players don’t always match. It means some gamblers will attain a hefty payout.

The below breakdown is based on some recent DraftKings betting action.

Golfer Odds Percentage of Handle
Brooks Koepka  + 1900   10%
Phil Mickelson +7000  9%
Jon Rahm                           +1050 7%
Dustin Johnson  +1500   7%
Colin Morikawa+2550  5%
Xander Schauffele+1500     4%
Jordan Spieth+19004%
Bryson DeChambeau+1500   4%
Will Zalatoris  +4650 3%
Tony Finau +2200    3%

Talk about a paradise betting board.

Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, hails the U.S. Open depth.

“In many tournaments, the top guy will get 15-18% of the money,” Avello told NJ Gambling Sites, “but in a field like this, you’ve got the whole cast of characters. You can go way down the list and get great odds on a lot of top players.”

Avello said the betting public sentimentally backs Mickelson, who became the oldest player to win a major. He won the PGA Championship at age 50. Some passionate gamblers believe lightning can strike twice.

“He was 100-1 for this tournament while the PGA was still going on, the odds dropped as low as 50 and now they are going back up,” Avello said. “He is definitely a hazard for us now.

“The people have been betting Phil ever since he won the PGA and have continued to do so. He’s always played well at this course too.”

Avello believes Rahm has a consistent record at Torrey Pines. Collin Morikawa and Tony Finau are solid players who can also rise up at any moment.

“Morikawa is steady, I really like his game,” Avello asserted. “He is solid with his irons. From 120 yards away and in, he strikes the ball well.

How to watch U.S. Open

The 2021 U.S. Open TV coverage will be split between Golf Channel and NBC. Here is how and where to watch:

  • Thursday, June 17: 12:30-7 p.m. ET (Golf Channel); 7-10 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • Friday, June 18: 12:30-6 p.m. ET (Golf Channel); 6-9 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • Saturday, June 19: 11 a.m.-9 p.m. ET (NBC)
  • Sunday, June 20: 10 a.m.-12 p.m. ET (Golf Channel); 12-8 p.m. ET (NBC)

Ways to wager at NJ Online sportsbooks

The U.S. Open is a four-day golf betting fest for New Jersey gamblers.

Check some excellent new DraftKings additions.

They include the prices for Top 5, Top 10, and Top 20 after the opening round.

You took a bomb to be the first-round leader and he’s second?

This bet rewards that play. It will encourage more first-round betting on longshots and some hedge plays on favorites.

As the days roll on, betting menus expand.

“You can bet on the tournament winner the entire time,” Avello said. “We do write a fair amount of money on whether the next hole will be a birdie or the next shot will hit the fairway, but the bet to win it all is still a big percentage of[our] business.”

“Now take a guy like Dustin Johnson. Let’s say he’s 15-1 [+1500] and shoots -1 the first day with the leader coming in at -7. Now he goes from 15-1 to 22-1 or 25-1. Some bettors wait for that opportunity and then they plunge in.

“Some gamblers wait for two whole rounds to be completed, even three. The payoffs may be smaller, but they gain a betters sense of what could possibly happen in the final round.”

William Hill: Will Rahm regain hot stroke at U.S. Open?

Rahm is the +1000 favorite at William Hill NJ.

Brooks Koepka, Johnson, Xander Schauffele and Bryson DeChambeau are next at +1800.

Rahm last played at the Memorial Tournament on June 5 before withdrawing due to testing positive for COVID-19. He had built a six-stroke lead before his exit and has been cleared for the U.S. Open following two negative COVID-19 tests.

“Rahm plays well there, he’s in good form and he’s gotten money, so he’s the lowest-priced golfer,” said Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US. “He was so far ahead of everyone [at the Memorial Tournament before testing positive for COVID-19] and he’s been the guy with the shortest odds for the past month or so. People may think that he’s due a break and may end up betting him more.

Mickelson, meanwhile, could give the book one Hill of a problem, having taken money from +2000 (200-1) down to +4500 before drifting up

“He just won the PGA Championship and he’s back home, so he knows the course better than anyone,” Bogdanovich said. “There will be seven-figure liability on him when this kicks off. He’s really close to leading in dollars, only Koepka has more.

“Tickets, it’s not even close, he’s got the most. I think the only bigger liability in a recent golf major was when Tiger [Woods] was coming back from all those injuries and won the [2019] Masters.”

BetMGM and across the board bets

There are several different ways to cash in via BetMGM.

Let’s take Finau for example.

He’s ++2500 to win, +400 for the Top 4, +175 to hit the Top 10, and -125 for the Top 20. That’s a good range of payouts, covering 20 golfers at reasonable to good betting odds.

Apply the principle to the golfer of your choice.  This rewards a player who performs well but may have a late putt not fall.

Mickelson, incidentally, creates a value play lower on the board.

He’s +100, even money, to finish in the Top 40. If he’s on his game, he’ll hit that standard going away. If not, he won’t crack the Top 40.

AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez

 

Yankees Versus Phillies Weekend Series Will Have Garden State Gamblers Stepping Up To Plate

This weekend’s Philadelphia Phillies, New York Yankees showdown at Citizens Bank Park means NJ sports betting angles galore. 

Psst. New Jersey online sports bettors, are you ready? The New York Yankees invade Citizens Bank Park Saturday and Sunday to play the Philadelphia Phillies.

The weekend series includes a rare Friday off day for both teams.

But the park will be close to sold out for both afternoon games. That’s what the Phillies versus Yankees means.

And there are NJ sports betting angles galore greeting Garden State gamblers. 

Phillies-Yankees pitching matchups

The weather is warming up. But what about the bats?

Vince Velasquez and Aaron Nola are the two starters slated to pitch for the Phillies.  That always can change because manager Joe Girardi is playing the cat-and-mouse game of not tipping his lineup hand. The Phillies broadcast team hinted at some unexpected news in this area on Thursday.

After Velasquez posted a 2.30 ERA in his first six starts, he has an 11.57 ERA in his last two, allowing nine runs in just seven innings. The Phillies hope it is nothing more than a temporary problem. The second time through the order appears to be a problem for Velasquez, when he’s pitch-count heavy early in the game.

The Yankees have listed Jameson Taillon as Saturday’s hurler. 

He comes off a no-decision against the Red Sox in which he allowed three runs on six hits over 5 1/3 innings. Taillon has pitched to a 3.52 ERA over his past three starts, spanning 15 1/3 innings.

Aaron Nola takes the bump Sunday for the Phillies. His 4.06 ERA after 13 starts is his slowest start since 2019 when he had a 4.63 ERA after that number of starts.  Nola has a 4.97 ERA in nine starts since throwing a shutout in April.

Location has been a problem. In Tuesday’s outing against the Atlanta Braves, he gave up four runs in five-plus innings. Nola surrendered two homers on pitches right down the middle. He yielded two run-scoring hits on breaking pitches that were left up. Nola needs to catch less of the plate

Domingo German is listed as New York’s Sunday starter. Germán has allowed three or fewer runs in each of his past nine outings and in 10 of his 11 starts this season. Last time out, he tossed 5 2/3 innings of one-run ball in a no-decision against the Red Sox.

Both matchups give a lean to the offenses, which are in a small groove right now. We’ll see if it plays out that way

Phillies winning late in games

Both teams, who had recently sputtered, showed signs of life in the past week.

The Phillies notched back-to-back series wins versus the Washington Nationals and  Braves. They also earned two emotionally lifting walk-off victories over the Braves in less than 24 hours.

But will that momentum carry over?

In both cases what looked like a looming defeat into victory.

First, there was Luke Williams’ unexpected two-out, two-run dinger that helped the Phillies shock the Braves Wednesday night.

Thursday afternoon, they trailed 3-1 entering the home 10th before scoring three times. Jean Segura led the comeback with a double off the top of the wall that knocked in the tying and winning runs. 

(Had it gone out, the over 7.5 bettors would have been rewarded. As it was, the moneyline came through for Philadelphia.

 Phillies versus Nationals and Braves

The return of Bryce Harper, who had missed 11 games with a wrist injury, brings respectability back to the heart of the lineup.

He was in the middle of a seven-run rally when the Phillies beat the Nationals last Sunday.

Two nights later, he homered and the Phillies rebounded from an early deficit to lead the Braves late in the game. But two muffed eighth-inning ground balls led to a five-run inning and 9-5 Atlanta victory.

Were the Phillies deflated?

Yes.

At least until the ninth inning of Wednesday night’s game. 

Williams, a relative unknown, was just promoted from Triple-A Lehigh Valley, getting his first taste of the majors.

And it’s a night he will likely never forget.

Two outs in the ninth. Phillies trailing 1-0.

But the chances of Williams hitting a dinger seemed highly unlikely. He had not hit a homer in an affiliated game since August 23, 2019, for Double-A Reading.

Roll the Hollywood script. He drilled a two-run homer and the Phillies had the victory nobody saw coming.

The following afternoon, Alec Bohm and Odubel Herrera notched opposite field hits to set up Segura’s game-winner. Herrera is suddenly looking reliable in clutch situations as a leadoff hitter.

What happens now? 

When the Phillies look buried, they rise. When they look ready to make a move, they fall.

That’s exactly how the books projected them in the 80 to 82-win range.

On the injury front, shortstop Didi Gregorius, who hasn’t played since May 12, began a rehab assignment. He is slated to return next week, although some rumors have him being activated in time for the Yankee series

Bet $1 Win $100 + Up to $1,050 Bonus
1
UP TO $1,050 FREE
New User Bonus. T&Cs Apply.
Olympics Special
Bet $1, Win $100 If U.S.A Wins a Medal
$50 Free Bet on Deposit
Up to $1,000 Deposit Bonus
To Claim: Click Play Now

Recapping Yankees recent performance

The Yankees, who were swept at home by the Boston Red Sox last weekend, found a tonic in the Minnesota Twins

But not an entire cure.

Their bats are waking up. In their 9-6 triumph over the Twins Wednesday, the Yankees won a game for the first time this season after allowing five or more runs.

The Yankees were slated for 95-96 wins by major NJ online sportsbooks like DraftKings, William Hill, and BetMGM. Their colossal under-achievement presents a betting opportunity via individual games for gamblers who believe a major rebound is coming.

But the Yankees just blew an imminent sweep against the Twins. 

Aroldis Chapman entered the ninth inning with a 5-3 lead and here’s what happened: single, homer, single, homer, a 7-5 loss. (You thought the Phillies bullpen was ugly on Thursday, giving up two 10th-inning runs on no hits, but Chapman “downstaged” them).

These aren’t the same Yankees, and they are vulnerable.

AP Photo/Matt Slocum

 

Will 76ers Deliver A Winning Ticket For NJ Bettors Tuesday Night Versus Hawks?

Following the Philadelphia 76ers Game 1 loss to the Atlanta Hawks, it’s time to revaluate their NBA Playoff odds at NJ online sportsbooks.

Philadelphia 76ers backers must interpret a strange interruption to their NBA betting playoff party.

It continues Tuesday in round two, Game 2, with the Sixers hosting the Atlanta Hawks as medium-sized NJ online spots betting favorite.

But the post-season celebration, enlivened after the Sixers had dispatched the Washington Wizards in a five-games, has been threatened. It’s more subdued, and the music is softer.

With the Sixers losing Game 1 on Sunday, 128-124, they won’t have the luxury of breezing through the second round. That would have let them relax and watch the Brooklyn Nets and Milwaukee Bucks make the other conference semifinal a draining marathon.

Brooklyn leads that series 1-0 before tonight’s Game 2 and remains the DraftKings favorite at +160 to win the NBA championship.  That’s even without star James Harden, who suffered a hamstring injury 43 seconds into its 115-107 Game 1 win on Saturday.

The Nets are slight favorites for the second game and will be without Harden.

The books forecast the Sixers at least making temporary amends after the stunning loss to the Hawks.  Stunning is a fitting term being that the Sixers had NBA MVP finalist Joel Embiid back in the starting lineup. He scored 39 points.

The gamblers who had taken the Sixers at betting odds of -2.5 on Friday when it looked like Embiid would be sidelined got a great deal.

Unfortunately, they couldn’t cash in.

Assessing the 76ers odds after Game 1

Bettors have two assessments on the Sixers, based on how the game ended.

What happened?

Embiid played Sunday through a small right tear in his meniscus. Besides the 39 points, he collected nine rebounds and four assists in 38 minutes. The Sixers lost with him after blowing out the Hawks by 66 points in two April contests essentially without him.

New Jersey bettors were practically all in on the Sixers. DraftKings reported that 64% of the moneyline handle backed them at -205.

And 78% of the gamblers took the Sixers -4.5. A high number of players undoubtedly took both bets.

Sixers backers were rewarded in one category at least and that would be total points. DraftKings reported 58% of the customers took over 220.5.

They likely profited in another area too.

Plus, you can’t ignore Atlanta’s Trae Young’s value on the prop board.  He rang the bell twice for bettors on Sunday. His line of over 2.5 for three-pointers was the most popular prop bet at DraftKings. He produced four and rewarded bettors at +125.

Young also had 35 points, far above the 27 needed to bring home an over-under bet on his point total, at -117. That was the second most highly-bet prop.

Look for him to be a big prop target Tuesday as well.

William Hill offered a boosted odds special on Sunday. Take the Sixers and the Los Angeles Clippers on the Moneyline and get +140. The Clippers, who eliminated the Dallas Mavericks with a  126-111 victory, came through. The Sixers did not.

The other viewpoint on Joel Embiid and company

It never happened. The Sixers trailed by 26 before nearly stealing the game late. They found themselves. Momentum will carry over into Game 2. Take a mulligan. The Hawks hit 20 of 47 three-pointers and the 76ers must make sure it doesn’t happen again.

DraftKings underscored that sentiment, installing the Sixers at a decided -4.5 and a -180 on the moneyline for Game 2. Within an hour, it moved up to -5 and -195 on the moneyline.

And as of Monday morning, it moved to -210.

More along that vein, the Sixers showed they can stand up around Embiid too. Tobias Harris had 20 points and 10 rebounds, Seth Curry had 21 points and Ben Simmons delivered 17 points and 10 assists in Game 1. However, Simmons only made three of 10 free-throw attempts.

Harris and Simmons produced winning prop-bet double-double tickets for bettors.

The over-under of 222.5 for Game 2 projects 30 fewer points than the opener and below the teams’ combined 227-point average. It reflects the expectation that the Sixers, who were slow defensively in the opener, will snap back to form.

How will James Harden’s absence impact the Nets’ odds?

Bettors handicap a reduced Harden influence.  This is the same hamstring that saw him miss over a month before returning for the final week of the regular season.

Harden then returned to play in two games before the postseason began, and he had no issues in Brooklyn’s five-game destruction of the Boston Celtics in the opening round.

In his Game 1 absence, Brooklyn got a balanced scoring attack with 29 points from Kevin Durant, 25 from Kyrie Irving, 19 from Joe Harris and 18 from Blake Griffin.

Betting confidence remains high on the Nets in Game 2.

They were listed as -2 at BetMGM with a moneyline of -125.

But do you feel lucky?

Think they can win by five points or more, as they did in Game 1? Take that prop and get +135.

Handicapping 76ers odds for NBA Eastern Conference finals

So what happens if the Sixers right this ship?

They will play the Nets, against whom they were 2-1, or the Bucks, who swept them 3-0.

The 76ers never faced a full Nets team, but did beat then twice at home.  They were blown out of the water against the Bucks, going 0-3 and suffering their worst blowout of the season, 132-94, on April 24.

Four days later, they crushed the Hawks by 44 points. Two nights later, it was by 22.

But here they are in a different place against the fifth-seeded team.  Suddenly the Hawks have won four straight, including the three clinching victories against the New York Knicks.

Suddenly, the 76ers face their first must-win of the season Tuesday and then must seize a road victory. They play Friday and Monday in Atlanta.

The optimistic bettor thinks the Nets and Bucks will have a long draining series and the Sixers will play the winner.

The pessimist believes they won’t beat the Hawks.

The realist is in between.

Dreamstime Photo